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Wecon Holdings Ltd (1793) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$297M

WH Wecon Holdings Ltd 1793 · HK
PriceHK$0.5500
Fair ValueHK$0.2500
Upside-54.6%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +37.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.6100 HK$0.1165 Fair Value HK$0.2500 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1165 – HK$0.6100 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3100 · the HK$0.5500 price screens above the HK$0.2500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Wecon Holdings Ltd (1793) currently trades at HK$0.5500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 54.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wecon Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$236M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1900 (bear case) to HK$0.3100 (bull case); at HK$0.5500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 235% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -55%, 1793 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4500 HK$0.4900 80
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2200 HK$0.1800 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3600 HK$0.3700 HK$0.3800 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4500 HK$0.4900 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.4500 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5300 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.3700 HK$0.3700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4000 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4800 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4400 HK$0.5100 HK$0.5800 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4000 HK$0.4100 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4700 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.4300 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5300 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0800 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 54
EPV HK$0.3000 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1900 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1500 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2500 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1500 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2500 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3100 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3200 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4000 HK$0.4300 HK$0.4600 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.3100 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4500 HK$0.4900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3600 HK$0.3700 HK$0.3800 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2200 HK$0.1800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.3000 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1300 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2500 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4400) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow HK$12.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 55.0
More key figures
Operating margin 0.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +25.2%
Net cash HK$236M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wecon Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a construction contractor in Hong Kong. It operates through Construction contracts and Repair, Maintenance, Alteration and Addition (RMAA) segments.

Full company description

Wecon Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a construction contractor in Hong Kong. It operates through Construction contracts and Repair, Maintenance, Alteration and Addition (RMAA) segments. The company provides building construction services for residential, commercial, and industrial buildings and RMAA services, such as general upkeep, maintenance, improvement, refurbishment, alteration, and addition of existing facilities and components of buildings and their surroundings. It also offers the provision of building information modelling services. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Wecon Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Triple Arch Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Wecon Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2026 versus HK$1.2B in FY2022, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$9.5M in FY2026, compounding −9.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$1.1B
Latest YoY
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 HK$869M
FY24 HK$1.2B
FY25 HK$1.1B
FY26 HK$1.1B
Net income −9.7%/yr
FY22 HK$14.2M
FY23 HK$5.9M
FY24 HK$6.0M
FY25 HK$7.4M
FY26 HK$9.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) −13.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.2 pp

of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin −32.4 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +10.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1793 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wecon Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1793

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 59 · sector 15
PAST 13 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 64 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wecon Holdings Ltd (1793) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2500 versus a price of HK$0.5500, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1793?
Our model-based fair value for Wecon Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5500.
What is the quality score of 1793?
Wecon Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wecon Holdings Ltd (1793)?
Wecon Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1793?
The net profit margin of Wecon Holdings Ltd is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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