VIVA Biotech Holdings (1873) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$2.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +10.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 38% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4150 – HK$11.12 · fair‑value band HK$1.57 – HK$2.62 · the HK$1.51 price screens below the HK$2.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
VIVA Biotech Holdings (1873) currently trades at HK$1.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.09, implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, VIVA Biotech Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue declined 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at HK$222M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.57 (bear case) to HK$2.62 (bull case); at HK$1.51, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 38%, 1873 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.73) versus Economic Profit (HK$1.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Viva Biotech Holdings, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of structure-based drug discovery services to biotechnology and pharmaceutical customers worldwide.
Full company description
Viva Biotech Holdings, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of structure-based drug discovery services to biotechnology and pharmaceutical customers worldwide. The company provides discovery biology services, including protein expression, structural biology, hit discovery, bioassay, biomolecular interaction, and pharmacology and DMPK; chemistry services, such as medicinal and synthetic chemistry, purification preparation, and computer-aided drug design services, as well as offers chemical technology platforms; and antibody/biologics research and development services comprising recombinant protein expression platform, antibody discovery and affinity maturation, assay platform, antibody production and identification platform, and antigen-antibody structural resolution platform solutions. It also offers PROTAC/molecular glue services, including protein preparation and complex structure determination, ADME & PK/PD studies of PROTAC molecules, and XDC platforms, such as XDC conjugation and quality study, and XDC chemistry research and development. In addition, the company offers contract development and manufacturing services comprising integrated services for small molecule active pharmaceutical ingredients, formulation development and production services, and pharmaceutical analysis services, as well as CMC filing, global filing registration support, and other services. Further, it provides research services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VIVA Biotech Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$2.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$220M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Biotechnology · 605 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 314,000 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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