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YFY Inc (1907) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of YFY Inc TWD 20.21, price TWD 28.25, upside -28.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · TW · ISIN TW0001907004

YI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

YFY Inc

1907 · TW

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 20.21 TWD · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·3.54% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

44.87 TWD 21.45 TWD Fair Value 20.21 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.45 TWD – 44.87 TWD · fair‑value band 15.16 TWD – 22.92 TWD · the 28.25 TWD price screens above the 20.21 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

YFY Inc., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in Taiwan.

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YFY Inc., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in Taiwan. It provides forest, fine paper, and board products; industrial paper and paper containers, such as kraft paper and corrugated paper, corrugated cardboard boxes, corrugated cardboard, colored cardboard boxes and containers, food containers, and paper pallet; and household paper and tissue paper under the Mayflower, Tender, and Delight brands. The company offers nitrile-butadiene rubber latex used for textile, construction, and wood processing industries; graphic and packaging services, including commercial photography, brand packaging design, certification testing, and packaging and printing management services; printing services and trading services for paper and related materials, digital printing solutions, and anti-counterfeit measures for financial securities. In addition, it is involved in manufacturing radio frequency identification; carbontech and management services; technology and financial business; research and development of organic produce and food ingredients under the GREEN & SAFE brand; and investments in the medical biotechnology sector. Further, the company engages in production and sale of styrene butadiene rubber; real estate investment and development; designing and printing of magazines, posters, and books; Renewable energy retail; provision of information software and information processing; wholesale of information software and electric appliances; trade of paper, chemical material, and machinery; consulting services; design and construction of water processing and environmental facilities; and operate cogeneration and provide power technology. YFY Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

YFY Inc (1907) currently trades at 28.25 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.21 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 30.30 TWD per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the 28.25 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.42 TWD, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 15.16 TWD (bear) to 22.92 TWD (bull), the price of 28.25 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

YFY Inc reported revenue of 73.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 85.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B TWD in FY2025, compounding −29.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 51.4B TWD (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 23.7 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) 1.19 TWD · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −28%, 1907 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 15.16 TWD Fair Value 20.21 TWD Bull 22.92 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1390 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 30.43 TWD 28.56 TWD 21.62 TWD 76
Owner Earnings 3.12 TWD 8.21 TWD 14.46 TWD 72
Growth-Adj P/E 11.57 TWD 16.53 TWD 21.48 TWD 67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.12 TWD 8.21 TWD 14.46 TWD 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.08 TWD 18.53 TWD 23.76 TWD 65
PEG = 1.0 3.10 TWD 4.42 TWD 5.75 TWD 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA 5.72 TWD 11.55 TWD 17.38 TWD 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.61 TWD 30.30 TWD 45.22 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 30.43 TWD 28.56 TWD 21.62 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.57 TWD 16.53 TWD 21.48 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19% vs 14%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → −1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

1907 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with UPM-Kymmene Oyj →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 121 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.70× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)71 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €26.01 €15.39 −41%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥13.68 ¥17.29 +26%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$5.93 HK$8.59 +45%
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP 8,450 IDR 12,515 IDR +48%
The Navigator Company NVG €3.26 €2.08 −36%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 966.50 CLP 1,355 CLP +40%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥18.88 ¥18.80 +0%
Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A SEM €20.75 €29.15 +40%
Billerud AB BILL kr 84.40 kr 46.05 −45%
PT Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk TKIM 7,450 IDR 2,523 IDR −66%

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YFY Inc · Fair Value
20.21 TWD −40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YFY Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1907

Frequently asked questions

Is YFY Inc (1907) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.21 TWD versus a price of 28.25 TWD, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1907?
Our model-based fair value for YFY Inc is 20.21 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 28.25 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1907?
YFY Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for YFY Inc (1907)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 20.21 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.92 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the YFY Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 20.21 TWD, about −28% upside versus a price of 28.25 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 15.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.92 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of YFY Inc (1907)?
YFY Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does YFY Inc pay a dividend?
YFY Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of YFY Inc (1907)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For YFY Inc it is 20.21 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 28.25 TWD. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is YFY Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1907 trades above its calculated fair value: price 28.25 TWD, fair value 20.21 TWD, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1907?
No. The price is what the market pays today (28.25 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (20.21 TWD). For YFY Inc the two are 8.04 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is YFY Inc worth?
The market values YFY Inc at about 51.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 28.25 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 20.21 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1907?
Our models span a range for YFY Inc: cautious scenario 15.16 TWD, base 20.21 TWD, optimistic 22.92 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 28.25 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1907?
YFY Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 20.21 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 18.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of YFY Inc (1907)?
Balance-sheet figures for YFY Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1907 from its 52-week high?
YFY Inc trades at 28.25 TWD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 31.20 TWD and 20% above the low of 23.50 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 20.21 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to YFY Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is YFY Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 28.25 TWD, calculated fair value 20.21 TWD (−28%), Quality Score 31/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1907 calculated?
We run YFY Inc through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 20.21 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. YFY Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of YFY Inc (1907)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 28.25 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 20.21 TWD, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with YFY Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (22.92 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of YFY Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of YFY Inc (1907)?
The market capitalisation of YFY Inc is 51.4B TWD (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of YFY Inc (1907)?
The price-to-sales ratio of YFY Inc is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of YFY Inc (1907)?
Earnings per share at YFY Inc are 1.19 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of YFY Inc (1907)?
The dividend yield of YFY Inc is 3.5% (payout 84.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of YFY Inc (1907)?
The net margin of YFY Inc is 2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of YFY Inc (1907)?
The return on equity (ROE) of YFY Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of YFY Inc (1907)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of YFY Inc is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of YFY Inc (1907)?
The operating margin of YFY Inc is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at YFY Inc (1907)?
Revenue at YFY Inc is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at YFY Inc (1907)?
Earnings per share at YFY Inc are growing −3.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does YFY Inc (1907) generate?
The free cash flow of YFY Inc is −928M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does YFY Inc (1907) carry?
The net debt of YFY Inc is 46.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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