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YFY Inc (1907) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 46.6B TWD

YI YFY Inc 1907 · TW
Price30.85 TWD
Fair Value20.21 TWD
Upside-34.5%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.55% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range 15.16 TWD – 25.26 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.26 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.87 TWD 21.45 TWD Fair Value 20.21 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.45 TWD – 44.87 TWD · fair‑value band 15.16 TWD – 25.26 TWD · the 30.85 TWD price screens above the 20.21 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

YFY Inc (1907) currently trades at 30.85 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.21 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, YFY Inc generated revenue of 73.6B TWD at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 46.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15.16 TWD (bear case) to 25.26 TWD (bull case); at 30.85 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -34%, 1907 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 32.39 TWD 31.15 TWD 25.62 TWD 76
Growth-Adj P/E 11.57 TWD 16.53 TWD 21.48 TWD 68
P/E Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 5.05 TWD 12.30 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.08 TWD 18.53 TWD 23.76 TWD 54
PEG = 1.0 3.10 TWD 4.42 TWD 5.75 TWD 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 15.16 TWD 20.21 TWD 25.26 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA 5.72 TWD 11.55 TWD 17.38 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.61 TWD 30.30 TWD 45.22 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 32.39 TWD 31.15 TWD 25.62 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.57 TWD 16.53 TWD 21.48 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (31.15 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (4.42 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 73.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow −928M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 23.6
More key figures
Operating margin -0.4%
EPS (TTM) 1.19 TWD
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net debt 46.8B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

YFY Inc., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in Taiwan. It provides forest, fine paper, and board products; industrial paper and paper containers, such as kraft paper and corrugated paper, corrugated cardboard boxes, corrugated cardboard, colored cardboard boxes and containers, food containers, and paper …

Full company description

YFY Inc., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in Taiwan. It provides forest, fine paper, and board products; industrial paper and paper containers, such as kraft paper and corrugated paper, corrugated cardboard boxes, corrugated cardboard, colored cardboard boxes and containers, food containers, and paper pallet; and household paper and tissue paper under the Mayflower, Tender, and Delight brands. The company offers nitrile-butadiene rubber latex used for textile, construction, and wood processing industries; graphic and packaging services, including commercial photography, brand packaging design, certification testing, and packaging and printing management services; printing services and trading services for paper and related materials, digital printing solutions, and anti-counterfeit measures for financial securities. In addition, it is involved in manufacturing radio frequency identification; carbontech and management services; technology and financial business; research and development of organic produce and food ingredients under the GREEN & SAFE brand; and investments in the medical biotechnology sector. Further, the company engages in production and sale of styrene butadiene rubber; real estate investment and development; designing and printing of magazines, posters, and books; Renewable energy retail; provision of information software and information processing; wholesale of information software and electric appliances; trade of paper, chemical material, and machinery; consulting services; design and construction of water processing and environmental facilities; and operate cogeneration and provide power technology. YFY Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

YFY Inc reported revenue of 73.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 85.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B TWD in FY2025, compounding −29.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
73.6B TWD
Latest YoY
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+5.0%
Revenue −3.6%/yr
FY21 85.3B TWD
FY22 79.6B TWD
FY23 73.9B TWD
FY24 78.4B TWD
FY25 73.6B TWD
Net income −29.0%/yr
FY21 7.8B TWD
FY22 2.2B TWD
FY23 1.8B TWD
FY24 1.6B TWD
FY25 2.0B TWD

1907 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "YFY Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1907

Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 7
PAST 12 · sector 12
HEALTH 79 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11 R$17.58 R$3.89 -78%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €23.45 €15.47 -34%
Suzano S.A SUZB3 R$41.70 R$138.01 +231%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB kr 103.00 kr 49.40 -52%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥14.13 ¥17.29 +22%
Holmen AB HOLMB kr 305.40 kr 217.72 -29%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$7.55 HK$8.73 +16%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 1,078 CLP 1,269 CLP +18%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥22.05 ¥24.32 +10%
Billerud AB BILL kr 68.70 kr 48.60 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is YFY Inc (1907) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.21 TWD versus a price of 30.85 TWD, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1907?
Our model-based fair value for YFY Inc is 20.21 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 30.85 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1907?
YFY Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of YFY Inc (1907)?
YFY Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1907?
The net profit margin of YFY Inc is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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