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Konka Group Co Ltd (200016) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap HK$1.8B (≈ $230M) · ISIN CNE000000347

What is Konka Group Co Ltd really worth?

KG Konka Group Co Ltd 200016 · SHE
PriceHK$0.7100
Fair ValueHK$2.11
Upside+197.2%
Quality37/100

Below-average quality, trading 66% below our fair value of HK$2.11.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −27.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -139.5% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$1.95 – HK$2.35

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.30 to HK$2.11 (−8.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −6.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.52 HK$0.5600 Fair Value HK$2.11 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5600 – HK$2.52 · fair‑value band HK$1.95 – HK$2.35 · the HK$0.7100 price screens below the HK$2.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Konka Group Co Ltd (200016) currently trades at HK$0.7100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.11, implying the stock looks roughly 66.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$9.2B. Revenue declined 24.1% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$6.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.95 (bear case) to HK$2.35 (bull case); at HK$0.7100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 197%, 200016 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM best evidence HK$1.87 HK$2.01 HK$2.23 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.87 HK$2.23 HK$2.69 67
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM best evidence HK$1.87 HK$2.01 HK$2.23 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.87 HK$2.23 HK$2.69 67

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.20 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−6.18
Net margin −128% FY2025
Return on equity −123% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −5.8% avg 5y
Operating margin −8.4% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$9.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −24.1% 3y avg −30.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +46.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$1.9B FY2025
Net debt HK$6.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Konka Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, and sells electronic products. The company offers refrigerators, washing machines, air conditioners, dishwashers, and freezers; semiconductors and memory chips; color TVs, white goods, optoelectronic displays, and storage and printed circuit boards; and micro LED-related …

Full company description

Konka Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, and sells electronic products. The company offers refrigerators, washing machines, air conditioners, dishwashers, and freezers; semiconductors and memory chips; color TVs, white goods, optoelectronic displays, and storage and printed circuit boards; and micro LED-related products. It also provides housing leasing; enterprise management consulting and incubation management; sale of home appliance; industrial park development and operation management; research and experiment development; computer, telecommunications, and other electronic equipment manufacturing; electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing; real estate; trade and services; retail trade; wholesale of computers, software, and auxiliary equipment; capital market; utilization of renewable resources; and export and import of electronics, as well as manufactures household cleaning and sanitary electrical appliances. In addition, the company offers commercial; software and information technology; science and technology promotion and application; ecological protection and environmental governance; and professional consultation and investigation services. It operates in the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Central and South America, East Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Konka Electronic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Konka Group Co., Ltd. in August 1995. Konka Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Konka Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 9.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 49.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −33.1%/yr. Reported net income was −12.6B CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$9.8B
Latest YoY
−11.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (35Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −33.1%/yr
FY21 49.1B CNY
FY22 29.6B CNY
FY23 17.8B CNY
FY24 11.1B CNY
FY25 9.8B CNY
Net income
FY21 905M CNY
FY22 −1.5B CNY
FY23 −2.2B CNY
FY24 −3.3B CNY
FY25 −12.6B CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Konka Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/200016

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 133 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +197% · Top 25%
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −139% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Below median
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 10
FUTURE0 · sector 6
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 47

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 257,000 KRW 163,160 KRW −37%
Sony Group SONY $24.07 $28.28 +17%
Xiaomi Corporation 81810 HK$23.56 HK$29.85 +27%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 198,300 KRW 98,149 KRW −51%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥249.80 ¥35.52 −86%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥78.49 ¥39.69 −49%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.11 ¥21.02 −5%
LG Corp 003550 113,700 KRW 89,984 KRW −21%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥58.89 ¥56.82 −4%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥118.42 ¥78.13 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Konka Group Co Ltd (200016) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.11 versus a price of HK$0.7100, about +197% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 200016?
Our model-based fair value for Konka Group Co Ltd is HK$2.11 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7100.
What is the quality score of 200016?
Konka Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Konka Group Co Ltd (200016)?
Konka Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 200016?
The net profit margin of Konka Group Co Ltd is about −139.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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