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Savola Group (2050) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 7.7B SAR

SG Savola Group 2050 · SR
Price26.06 SAR
Fair Value40.88 SAR
Upside+56.9%
Quality59/100
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.54% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 27.54 SAR – 61.41 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.8% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (27.54 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (27.54 SAR to 61.41 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

30.00 SAR 19.53 SAR Fair Value 40.88 SAR May 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 19.53 SAR – 30.00 SAR · fair‑value band 27.54 SAR – 61.41 SAR · the 26.06 SAR price screens below the 40.88 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Savola Group (2050) currently trades at 26.06 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.88 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 56.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Savola Group generated revenue of 26.1B SAR at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at 4.9B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27.54 SAR (bear case) to 61.41 SAR (bull case); at 26.06 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 57%, 2050 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 26.1B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow 441M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) 3.13 SAR
Dividend yield 6.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.6%
Net debt 4.9B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100
Profitability 53
Quality Growth 37
Cashflow 28
Fin. Strength 37
Investment 98
Low Volatility 80
Momentum 61
52W Momentum 51
Net Issuance 100

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Savola Group Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes food products. It operates through five segments: Food Processing, Retail, Food Services, Frozen Food, and Investments. The company offers edible oils, sugar, pasta, spices, nuts, pulses, and other food products.

Full company description

Savola Group Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes food products. It operates through five segments: Food Processing, Retail, Food Services, Frozen Food, and Investments. The company offers edible oils, sugar, pasta, spices, nuts, pulses, and other food products. It also engages in the agro cultivation, services and maintenance, retail, trading and distribution, wholesale and retail distribution of frozen food products, trading and distribution of seafood products, restaurant, renewable energy, e-commerce, and real estate activities, as well as investments in equity-accounted investees and other investments activities. In addition, it retails grocery products through a network of hyper markets, supermarkets, and convenience stores. Savola Group Company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Savola Group reported revenue of 26.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 24.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 882M SAR in FY2025, compounding +22.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +1.4%/yr
FY21 24.7B SAR
FY22 28.1B SAR
FY23 26.8B SAR
FY24 24.0B SAR
FY25 26.1B SAR
Net income +22.2%/yr
FY21 396M SAR
FY22 743M SAR
FY23 899M SAR
FY24 10.0B SAR
FY25 882M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Savola Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2050.SR

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 27
FUTURE 1 / 21
PAST 65 / 28
HEALTH 100 / 96
DIVIDEND 100 / 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,402 ₹362.37 -74%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 73.80 TWD 61.57 TWD -17%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,218 ₹3,567 -32%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,131 ₹339.05 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,250 IDR 10,177 IDR +63%
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF 6,800 IDR 25,554 IDR +276%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,000,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW +1%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹420.45 ₹294.68 -30%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,900 VND 70,912 VND +20%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,850 IDR 2,719 IDR +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Savola Group (2050) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.88 SAR versus a price of 26.06 SAR, about +57% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2050?
Our model-based fair value for Savola Group is 40.88 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 26.06 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2050?
Savola Group has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Savola Group (2050)?
Savola Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2050?
The net profit margin of Savola Group is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Savola Group pay a dividend?
Savola Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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