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Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd (2147) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$33.3M

ZG Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd 2147 · HK
PriceHK$0.5650
Fair ValueHK$0.2805
Upside-50.4%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -11.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1874 – HK$0.3552 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3552). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1874 to HK$0.3552) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$1,056 HK$0.4450 Fair Value HK$0.2805 Jan 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range HK$0.4450 – HK$1,056 · fair‑value band HK$0.1874 – HK$0.3552 · the HK$0.5650 price screens above the HK$0.2805 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd (2147) currently trades at HK$0.5650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2805, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$625M at a net margin of -11.6%. Revenue grew 38.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$192M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1874 (bear case) to HK$0.3552 (bull case); at HK$0.5650, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -50%, 2147 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.42 HK$3.24 HK$4.84 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.42 HK$3.24 HK$4.84 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$625M
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.7%
Net margin -11.6%
Return on equity -2,252%
Free cash flow −HK$352M FY2025
Operating margin -1.8%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net debt HK$192M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhengwei Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in sourcing, processing, and trading dried delicacies, snacks, dried aquatic products, grains, seasonings, and others in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Manufacturing Business and Trading Business segments.

Full company description

Zhengwei Group Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in sourcing, processing, and trading dried delicacies, snacks, dried aquatic products, grains, seasonings, and others in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Manufacturing Business and Trading Business segments. It produces and sells various snacks, including vegetable and meat snacks, bamboo shoots crisps, and roasted duck necks; and packaged dried food products, such as fungi, dried aquatic products, algae, grains, and seasonings. It also purchases and sells dried candied fruits, nuts, and other products to retailers and corporate customers, as well as engages in research and development activities. The company offers its products under the Shengyao and Gangweifang brands to retailers, such as supermarkets and grocery stores, corporate customers, and other individual customers, as well as through e-commerce channel on Tmall.com. Zhengwei Group Holdings Company Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Nanchang, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$735M in FY2025 versus HK$342M in FY2021, a compound +21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$80.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$735M
Latest YoY
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Revenue +21.1%/yr
FY21 HK$342M
FY22 HK$357M
FY23 HK$445M
FY24 HK$598M
FY25 HK$735M
Net income
FY21 HK$48.3M
FY22 HK$46.7M
FY23 HK$67.5M
FY24 −HK$53.6M
FY25 −HK$80.5M

2147 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2147

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 652 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 23
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,507 ₹362.37 -76%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,646 ₹1,870 -67%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹352.60 ₹144.77 -59%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,665 IDR 2,699 IDR +62%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,630 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd (2147) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2805 versus a price of HK$0.5650, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2147?
Our model-based fair value for Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.2805 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5650.
What is the quality score of 2147?
Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd (2147)?
Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$625M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2147?
The net profit margin of Zhengwei Group Holdings Co Ltd is about -11.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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