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The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 1.2B SAR

TN The National Co for Glass Industrie 2150 · SR
Price35.94 SAR
Fair Value25.62 SAR
Upside-28.7%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 74.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range 21.13 SAR – 31.94 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +0.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (31.94 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

56.23 SAR 11.30 SAR Fair Value 25.62 SAR Jan 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11.30 SAR – 56.23 SAR · fair‑value band 21.13 SAR – 31.94 SAR · the 35.94 SAR price screens above the 25.62 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) currently trades at 35.94 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.62 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, The National Co for Glass Industrie generated revenue of 132M SAR at a net margin of 74.5%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 16.9M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 21.13 SAR (bear case) to 31.94 SAR (bull case); at 35.94 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -29%, 2150 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 20.67 SAR 22.50 SAR 28.22 SAR 76
Gordon GGM 3.88 SAR 4.34 SAR 4.89 SAR 70
Growth-Adj P/E 23.11 SAR 33.01 SAR 42.92 SAR 68
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 18.34 SAR 23.53 SAR 32.85 SAR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 17.30 SAR 25.62 SAR 30.34 SAR 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.88 SAR 4.34 SAR 4.89 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.88 SAR 4.79 SAR 5.86 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 32.44 SAR 43.25 SAR 54.06 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 4.40 SAR 5.86 SAR 7.33 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 32.44 SAR 43.25 SAR 54.06 SAR 55
EV/EBITDA 5.77 SAR 7.80 SAR 9.82 SAR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.49 SAR 16.73 SAR 24.97 SAR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20.67 SAR 22.50 SAR 28.22 SAR 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23.11 SAR 33.01 SAR 42.92 SAR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (33.01 SAR) versus Dividend Discount (4.34 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 132M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net margin 74.5%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow −10.5M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 12.1
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) 2.98 SAR
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +80.7%
Net debt 16.9M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers.

Full company description

The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers. The National Company for Glass Industries was founded in 1990 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The National Co for Glass Industrie reported revenue of 129M SAR in FY2025 versus 86.9M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 83.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
129M SAR
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 86.9M SAR
FY22 112M SAR
FY23 154M SAR
FY24 139M SAR
FY25 129M SAR
Net income +13.1%/yr
FY21 51.1M SAR
FY22 104M SAR
FY23 47.9M SAR
FY24 96.8M SAR
FY25 83.7M SAR

2150 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The National Co for Glass Industrie Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2150

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 74% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 50 · sector 0
PAST 49 · sector 21
HEALTH 98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.62 SAR versus a price of 35.94 SAR, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2150?
Our model-based fair value for The National Co for Glass Industrie is 25.62 SAR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 35.94 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2150?
The National Co for Glass Industrie has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The National Co for Glass Industrie reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 132M SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2150?
The net profit margin of The National Co for Glass Industrie is about 74.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 74.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The National Co for Glass Industrie pay a dividend?
The National Co for Glass Industrie currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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