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The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of The National Co for Glass Industrie SAR 23.53, price SAR 34.78, upside -32.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · SA · ISIN SA0007879329

TN Some data Sep 27, 2026

The National Co for Glass Industrie

2150 · SR

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 23.53 SAR · Overvalued (−32.4%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 74.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!3.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

56.23 SAR 11.65 SAR Fair Value 23.53 SAR Mar 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11.65 SAR – 56.23 SAR · fair‑value band 17.30 SAR – 27.11 SAR · the 34.78 SAR price screens above the 23.53 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers.

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The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers. The National Company for Glass Industries was founded in 1990 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) currently trades at 34.78 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.53 SAR, 32.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 33.01 SAR per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the 34.78 SAR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.34 SAR, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 17.30 SAR (bear) to 27.11 SAR (bull), the price of 34.78 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

The National Co for Glass Industrie reported revenue of 129M SAR in FY2025 versus 86.9M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 83.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1B SAR (≈ $305M) · P/E ratio 11.7 · P/S ratio 7.60 · EPS (TTM) 2.98 SAR · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 65.1% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −32%, 2150 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 17.30 SAR Fair Value 23.53 SAR Bull 27.11 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.30 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 18.53 SAR 23.77 SAR 33.18 SAR 77
Residual Income 21.07 SAR 22.95 SAR 26.01 SAR 76
Gordon GGM 3.88 SAR 4.34 SAR 4.89 SAR 69
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 18.53 SAR 23.77 SAR 33.18 SAR 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 17.30 SAR 25.62 SAR 30.34 SAR 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.88 SAR 4.34 SAR 4.89 SAR 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.88 SAR 4.79 SAR 5.86 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 32.44 SAR 43.25 SAR 54.06 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 4.40 SAR 5.86 SAR 7.33 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 32.44 SAR 43.25 SAR 54.06 SAR 55
EV/EBITDA 5.77 SAR 7.80 SAR 9.82 SAR 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.49 SAR 16.73 SAR 24.97 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.07 SAR 22.95 SAR 26.01 SAR 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23.11 SAR 33.01 SAR 42.92 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+29.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.7% vs 5.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → −4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

2150 screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 262 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −32.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets −0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 74.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 8.76× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)50 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)72 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.41 $29.85 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $234.52 $130.10 −45%
International Paper Company IP $35.02 $21.53 −39%
Ball Corporation BALL $56.83 $47.81 −16%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $170.78 $125.35 −27%
Crown Holdings CCK $108.06 $121.85 +13%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.45 €9.66 −8%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.37 CHF 9.59 −28%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.00 ¥31.90 +10%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.06 $61.98 +24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The National Co for Glass Industrie Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2150

Frequently asked questions

Is The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.53 SAR versus a price of 34.78 SAR, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2150?
Our model-based fair value for The National Co for Glass Industrie is 23.53 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 34.78 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2150?
The National Co for Glass Industrie has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 23.53 SAR (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 17.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 27.11 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The National Co for Glass Industrie stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 23.53 SAR, about −32% upside versus a price of 34.78 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 17.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 27.11 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The National Co for Glass Industrie reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 132M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does The National Co for Glass Industrie pay a dividend?
The National Co for Glass Industrie currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The National Co for Glass Industrie it is 23.53 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 34.78 SAR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The National Co for Glass Industrie stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2150 trades above its calculated fair value: price 34.78 SAR, fair value 23.53 SAR, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2150?
No. The price is what the market pays today (34.78 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (23.53 SAR). For The National Co for Glass Industrie the two are 11.25 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The National Co for Glass Industrie worth?
The market values The National Co for Glass Industrie at about 1.1B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 34.78 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 23.53 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2150?
Our models span a range for The National Co for Glass Industrie: cautious scenario 17.30 SAR, base 23.53 SAR, optimistic 27.11 SAR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 34.78 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2150?
The National Co for Glass Industrie trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 23.53 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 8.8, EV/EBITDA 41.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Balance-sheet figures for The National Co for Glass Industrie (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2150 from its 52-week high?
The National Co for Glass Industrie trades at 34.78 SAR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 41.16 SAR and 3% above the low of 33.75 SAR (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 23.53 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The National Co for Glass Industrie?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The National Co for Glass Industrie stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 34.78 SAR, calculated fair value 23.53 SAR (−32%), Quality Score 47/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2150 calculated?
We run The National Co for Glass Industrie through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 23.53 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. The National Co for Glass Industrie itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 34.78 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 23.53 SAR, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The National Co for Glass Industrie right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (27.11 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of The National Co for Glass Industrie

How large is the market capitalisation of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The market capitalisation of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 1.1B SAR (≈ $305M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 7.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Earnings per share at The National Co for Glass Industrie are 2.98 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The dividend yield of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 3.6% (payout 41.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The net margin of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 65.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
The operating margin of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Revenue at The National Co for Glass Industrie is growing +9.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150)?
Earnings per share at The National Co for Glass Industrie are growing +80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) generate?
The free cash flow of The National Co for Glass Industrie is −10.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The National Co for Glass Industrie (2150) carry?
The net debt of The National Co for Glass Industrie is 16.9M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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