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Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company (2270) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 6.5B SAR

SD Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company 2270 · SR
Price202.70 SAR
Fair Value211.87 SAR
Upside+4.5%
Quality64/100
Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 66/100
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Evidence: High Range 156.45 SAR – 291.30 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (156.45 SAR to 291.30 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

381.78 SAR 128.11 SAR Fair Value 211.87 SAR Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 128.11 SAR – 381.78 SAR · fair‑value band 156.45 SAR – 291.30 SAR · the 202.70 SAR price screens below the 211.87 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company (2270) currently trades at 202.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 211.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company generated revenue of 3.0B SAR at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 394M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 156.45 SAR (bear case) to 291.30 SAR (bull case); at 202.70 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2270 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 84.79 SAR 101.40 SAR 274.46 SAR 76
Growth DCF 123.56 SAR 172.63 SAR 239.88 SAR 72
Gordon GGM 149.58 SAR 298.04 SAR 451.32 SAR 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 121.99 SAR 177.66 SAR 258.87 SAR 38
Owner Earnings 172.28 SAR 253.99 SAR 373.19 SAR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 117.60 SAR 177.62 SAR 253.75 SAR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 138.18 SAR 216.02 SAR 306.35 SAR 41
5Y P/E Exit 180.28 SAR 294.54 SAR 414.40 SAR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 115.11 SAR 169.40 SAR 241.41 SAR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 130.99 SAR 195.41 SAR 280.55 SAR 37
10Y P/E Exit 157.20 SAR 248.63 SAR 360.96 SAR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 101.57 SAR 311.97 SAR 414.36 SAR 54
Lynch FV 67.23 SAR 96.05 SAR 124.86 SAR 50
PEG = 1.0 67.23 SAR 96.05 SAR 124.86 SAR 46
EPV 109.59 SAR 124.60 SAR 137.56 SAR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 149.58 SAR 298.04 SAR 451.32 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 149.58 SAR 241.64 SAR 314.61 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 224.06 SAR 298.75 SAR 373.43 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 175.97 SAR 234.62 SAR 293.28 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 122.69 SAR 163.59 SAR 204.48 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 171.39 SAR 223.68 SAR 275.96 SAR 53
EV/EBITDA 164.19 SAR 214.07 SAR 263.96 SAR 54
EV/Revenue 120.26 SAR 165.58 SAR 210.89 SAR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 27.26 SAR 36.53 SAR 54.53 SAR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 123.56 SAR 172.63 SAR 239.88 SAR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 117.60 SAR 177.91 SAR 247.02 SAR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 84.79 SAR 101.40 SAR 274.46 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 115.73 SAR 139.81 SAR 166.49 SAR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 185.38 SAR 264.83 SAR 344.28 SAR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (264.83 SAR) versus Asset-Based (36.53 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin 14.5%
Return on equity 27.7%
Free cash flow 319M SAR FY2026
P/E ratio 14.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.4%
EPS (TTM) 13.91 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -34.9%
Net cash 394M SAR FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes dairy products, beverages, and various foodstuffs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Poland, Other Gulf countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Drinks, and Non"Drinks.

Full company description

Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes dairy products, beverages, and various foodstuffs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Poland, Other Gulf countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Drinks, and Non"Drinks. The company provides plain, functional, follow-on, and flavored milk; plant-based dairy alternatives, including oat, soy, almond, and coconut drinks; culinary products comprising tomato pastes, ketchup, mayonnaise, french fries, mezete, and cheese; ice cream products; and snacks, as well as frozen products, including sandwich, sticks, cones, bars, pushups, cups, and tubs. It offers its products under the Saudia, Sandwich, Baboo, Sensations, and Crispy brand names. The company also exports its products. Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company reported revenue of 3.0B SAR in FY2026 versus 2.2B SAR in FY2022, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 477M SAR in FY2026, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
3.0B SAR
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+6.1%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY22 2.2B SAR
FY23 2.6B SAR
FY24 2.8B SAR
FY25 3.0B SAR
FY26 3.0B SAR
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY22 207M SAR
FY23 309M SAR
FY24 437M SAR
FY25 484M SAR
FY26 477M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2270

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 672 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company (2270) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 211.87 SAR versus a price of 202.70 SAR, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2270?
Our model-based fair value for Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company is 211.87 SAR (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 202.70 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2270?
Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company (2270)?
Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2270?
The net profit margin of Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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