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Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 9.3B SAR

SI Sahara International Petrochemical Company 2310 · SR
Price12.73 SAR
Fair Value20.37 SAR
Upside+60.0%
Quality39/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -33.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.83% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 1/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 13.21 SAR – 29.78 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.0% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.21 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (13.21 SAR to 29.78 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

20.08 SAR 12.73 SAR Fair Value 20.37 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 12.73 SAR – 20.08 SAR · fair‑value band 13.21 SAR – 29.78 SAR · the 12.73 SAR price screens below the 20.37 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310) currently trades at 12.73 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.37 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sahara International Petrochemical Company generated revenue of 5.0B SAR at a net margin of -33.7%. Revenue declined 54.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.21 SAR (bear case) to 29.78 SAR (bull case); at 12.73 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2310 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.0B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -54.8%
Net margin -33.7%
Return on equity -11.7%
Free cash flow 644M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -21.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.34 SAR
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.7%
Net debt 1.5B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100
Profitability 4
Quality Growth 11
Cashflow 48
Fin. Strength 58
Investment 89
Low Volatility 85
Momentum 18
52W Momentum 2
Net Issuance 91

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sahara International Petrochemical Company owns, establishes, operates, and manages industrial projects related to chemical and petrochemical industries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Basic Chemicals, Intermediate Chemicals, Polymers, Marketing, and Corporate and Others segments.

Full company description

Sahara International Petrochemical Company owns, establishes, operates, and manages industrial projects related to chemical and petrochemical industries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Basic Chemicals, Intermediate Chemicals, Polymers, Marketing, and Corporate and Others segments. It offers basic products, including methanol, butane, and carbon monoxide; and intermediate products, such as acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomer, ethyl acetate, butyl acetate, and utilities. The company also provides polymer products consisting of low-density polyethylene, polyvinyl acetate, polyvinyl alcohol, polybutylene terephthalate, polypropylene, and electrical connecting wire products; acetic anhydride, butanediol, caustic soda, ethylene dichloride, gamma butyrolactone, methanol, and tetrahydrofuran products. In addition, the company manufactures and sells molds, and related services; and engages in the manufacture of metal equipment and spare parts. Further, it produces ethylene-vinyl acetate films and industrial utility services. The company was formerly known as Saudi International Petrochemical Company and changed its name to Sahara International Petrochemical Company in May 2019. Sahara International Petrochemical Company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sahara International Petrochemical Company reported revenue of 6.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 9.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound −8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −861M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue −8.4%/yr
FY21 9.7B SAR
FY22 10.3B SAR
FY23 7.6B SAR
FY24 7.1B SAR
FY25 6.8B SAR
Net income
FY21 3.6B SAR
FY22 3.6B SAR
FY23 1.2B SAR
FY24 426M SAR
FY25 −861M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sahara International Petrochemical Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2310

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 0
FUTURE 0 / 24
PAST 0 / 19
HEALTH 93 / 93
DIVIDEND 77 / 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN €425.60 €106.89 -75%
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 559.88 MXN -46%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.60 SAR 18.13 SAR -63%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.43 ¥34.39 +47%
Dow Inc D1OW34 R$43.91 R$31.57 -28%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥40.39 ¥19.73 -51%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥12.04 ¥3.01 -75%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,590 IDR 0.0900 IDR -100%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 281,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +109%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 53.10 TWD 23.70 TWD -55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.37 SAR versus a price of 12.73 SAR, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2310?
Our model-based fair value for Sahara International Petrochemical Company is 20.37 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 12.73 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2310?
Sahara International Petrochemical Company has a Quality Score of 39/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310)?
Sahara International Petrochemical Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2310?
The net profit margin of Sahara International Petrochemical Company is about -33.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sahara International Petrochemical Company pay a dividend?
Sahara International Petrochemical Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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