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Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Barito Pacific Tbk IDR 1,581, price IDR 1,560, upside +1.4%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · ID · ISIN ID1000085707

BP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Barito Pacific Tbk

BRPT · JK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value 1,581 IDR · Fairly valued (+1%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +219.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 1,186 IDR to 3,589 IDR
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4,280 IDR 600.00 IDR Fair Value 1,581 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 600.00 IDR – 4,280 IDR · fair‑value band 1,186 IDR – 3,589 IDR · the 1,560 IDR price screens below the 1,581 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Barito Pacific Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical production business. It operates through Petrochemical and Refinery, Building and Hotel Management, Energy and Resources, Property, and Others segments. The company produces a palette of olefins, polyolefins, styrene monomer, and butadiene, including by-products.

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PT Barito Pacific Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical production business. It operates through Petrochemical and Refinery, Building and Hotel Management, Energy and Resources, Property, and Others segments. The company produces a palette of olefins, polyolefins, styrene monomer, and butadiene, including by-products. It also operates geothermal energy resources and wind power plant projects. In addition, the company engages in the development and construction of industrial and commercial properties; marine transportation; logistics; and glue production for particleboards. Further, it provides management consultation services. The company was formerly known as PT Barito Pacific Timber Tbk and changed its name to PT Barito Pacific Tbk in August 2007. PT Barito Pacific Tbk was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) currently trades at 1,560 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,581 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4,041 IDR per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the 1,560 IDR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 175.71 IDR, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1,186 IDR (bear) to 3,589 IDR (bull), the price of 1,560 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Barito Pacific Tbk reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was $490M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 161T IDR (≈ $9.0B) · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) 108.67 IDR · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 34.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 19.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 1%, BRPT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,186 IDR Fair Value 1,581 IDR Bull 3,589 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (79.79 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 2,811 IDR 4,041 IDR 5,096 IDR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 65
Gordon GGM 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 351.43 IDR 64
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 702.86 IDR 4,393 IDR 6,150 IDR 61
Lynch FV 2,284 IDR 3,163 IDR 4,217 IDR 59
PEG = 1.0 2,284 IDR 3,163 IDR 4,217 IDR 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 351.43 IDR 64
DDM Multi-Stage 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 175.71 IDR 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,230 IDR 1,581 IDR 1,933 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,230 IDR 1,581 IDR 1,933 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 878.57 IDR 1,230 IDR 1,581 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 175.71 IDR 351.43 IDR 351.43 IDR 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income 702.86 IDR 878.57 IDR 5,623 IDR 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,811 IDR 4,041 IDR 5,096 IDR 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+13.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28% vs 11%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → −3%
2025 sits 1,418% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 232% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 4.02× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 22.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.90 SAR 24.66 SAR −49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.65 $21.03 −27%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%
Sinoma Science & Technology Co 002080 ¥62.50 ¥21.98 −65%

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Barito Pacific Tbk · Fair Value
1,581 IDR +1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Barito Pacific Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRPT

Frequently asked questions

Is Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,581 IDR versus a price of 1,560 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BRPT?
Our model-based fair value for Barito Pacific Tbk is 1,581 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,560 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRPT?
Barito Pacific Tbk has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,581 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,186 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,589 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Barito Pacific Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,581 IDR, about +1% upside versus a price of 1,560 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,186 IDR, optimistic scenario 3,589 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Barito Pacific Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Barito Pacific Tbk it is 1,581 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,560 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Barito Pacific Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BRPT trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,560 IDR, fair value 1,581 IDR, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRPT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,560 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,581 IDR). For Barito Pacific Tbk the two are 21.43 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Barito Pacific Tbk worth?
The market values Barito Pacific Tbk at about 161T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,560 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,581 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRPT?
Our models span a range for Barito Pacific Tbk: cautious scenario 1,186 IDR, base 1,581 IDR, optimistic 3,589 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,560 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRPT?
Barito Pacific Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,581 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.0, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 22.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Barito Pacific Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 34.8%, debt of 3.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRPT from its 52-week high?
Barito Pacific Tbk trades at 1,560 IDR, about 64% below its 52-week high of 4,280 IDR and 25% above the low of 1,250 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,581 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Barito Pacific Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Barito Pacific Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,560 IDR, calculated fair value 1,581 IDR (+1%), Quality Score 46/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRPT calculated?
We run Barito Pacific Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,581 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Barito Pacific Tbk currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,560 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,581 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Barito Pacific Tbk right now?
The model range is unusually wide (1,186 IDR to 3,589 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Barito Pacific Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The market capitalisation of Barito Pacific Tbk is 161T IDR (≈ $9.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Barito Pacific Tbk is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Earnings per share at Barito Pacific Tbk are 108.67 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The net margin of Barito Pacific Tbk is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Barito Pacific Tbk is 34.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Barito Pacific Tbk is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
The operating margin of Barito Pacific Tbk is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Revenue at Barito Pacific Tbk is growing +232% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Earnings per share at Barito Pacific Tbk are growing +461% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) generate?
The free cash flow of Barito Pacific Tbk is −$604M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) carry?
The net debt of Barito Pacific Tbk is $5.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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