BASF SE (BASN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 915B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 26.55 MXN to 532.13 MXN (+1,904.3%) since Jul 14, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 874.74 MXN – 1,034 MXN · fair‑value band 468.36 MXN – 619.08 MXN · the 1,034 MXN price screens above the 532.13 MXN fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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BASF SE (BASN) currently trades at 1,034 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 532.13 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BASF SE generated revenue of 59.2B MXN at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at 19.0B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 468.36 MXN (bear case) to 619.08 MXN (bull case); at 1,034 MXN, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -49%, BASN screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates. The Materials segment offers advanced materials and their precursors for applications and systems comprising isocyanates, polyamides, and inorganic basic products, as well as specialties for the plastics and plastics processing industries. The Industrial Solutions segment develops and markets ingredients and additives for industrial applications, such as polymer dispersions, resins, additives, chemical and refining catalysts, electronic materials, and antioxidants for automotive, petrochemical and petroleum processing, plastics and electronics, construction, electronics, paper coatings, and energy and resources industries. The Surface Technologies segment provides catalysts, battery materials, automotive OEM and refinish …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BASF SE reported revenue of 59.7B MXN in FY2025 versus 78.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B MXN in FY2025, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- BASF (XTRA:BAS) Stock Looks Reasonable After Lifted Forecasts And War Risk
- BASF (XTRA:BAS) Raises Earnings Forecast, Is The Valuation Gap An Opportunity?
- BASF’s Geopolitics-Driven Earnings Upgrade and Debt Move Could Be A Game Changer For BASF (XTRA:BAS)
- BASFY's Preliminary Q2 Sales Rise, FY26 Earnings Outlook Raised
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | €425.60 | €106.89 | -75% |
| Shin-Etsu Chemical Co SHECY | $22.43 | $14.26 | -36% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥21.72 | ¥42.42 | +95% |
| Dow Inc D1OW34 | R$41.12 | R$16.66 | -59% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥16.38 | ¥15.62 | -5% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥45.72 | ¥23.33 | -49% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥11.43 | ¥2.90 | -75% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,385 IDR | 1,614 IDR | +17% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥76.08 | ¥22.80 | -70% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥67.60 | ¥22.08 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.