2319 (2319) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$64.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$13.57 – HK$17.07 · fair‑value band HK$7.27 – HK$12.11 · the HK$16.56 price screens above the HK$9.69 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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2319 (2319) currently trades at HK$16.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.69 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 2319 generated revenue of HK$82.2B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at HK$12.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
2319 reported revenue of HK$82.2B in FY2025 versus HK$88.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.5B in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- China Baby Food Market Analysis Report 2026-2034: Demand Surges for Safe, High-quality, Fortified Baby Food Across Milk Formula, Prepared Fo
- China Mengniu Dairy (SEHK:2319): Assessing Valuation as Shares Drift Lower Despite Earnings Growth
- New Strong Sell Stocks for September 29th
- Mengniu Dairy H1 profits slide as revenues curdle
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 79.73 | CHF 55.79 | -30% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥34.03 | ¥23.66 | -30% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,386 | ₹278.10 | -80% |
| 3288 3288 | HK$30.26 | HK$27.44 | -9% |
| Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA | 57.10 MXN | 45.03 MXN | -21% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 75.60 TWD | 55.53 TWD | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.