Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd (2320) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$58.9M (≈ $7.5M) · ISIN KYG459991025
What is Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 373% above our fair value of HK$0.0448.
As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0448 per share against a price of HK$0.2120, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.0444 to HK$0.0448 (+0.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −12.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0664). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0332 to HK$0.0664) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0550 – HK$0.3300 · fair‑value band HK$0.0332 – HK$0.0664 · the HK$0.2120 price screens above the HK$0.0448 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
Analysis
Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd (2320) currently trades at HK$0.2120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0448, implying the stock looks roughly 373.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$131M at a net margin of −68.3%. Revenue declined 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −12.9%. Net debt stands at HK$81.6M. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0332 (bear case) to HK$0.0664 (bull case); at HK$0.2120, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −79%, 2320 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hop Fung Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, trade, and sale of containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Containerboard and Corrugated Packaging segments.
Full company description
Hop Fung Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, trade, and sale of containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Containerboard and Corrugated Packaging segments. The company offers corrugating medium and linerboards; and corrugated paper boards and carton boxes. It also provides management and accounting services; and trading of corrugated packaging and procurement of raw materials. Hop Fung Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$131M in FY2025 versus HK$756M in FY2021, a compound −35.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$89.7M in FY2025.
2320 screens 373% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 271 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | −54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $233.94 | $122.63 | −48% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.46 | $21.44 | −41% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $45.15 | $18.79 | −58% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | −41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | +0% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $173.07 | $113.05 | −35% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | −17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.66 | CHF 8.32 | −39% |
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