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AU Optronics (2409) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AU Optronics TWD 11.43, price TWD 34.20, upside -66.6%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · TW · ISIN TW0002409000

AO Some data Sep 24, 2026

AU Optronics

2409 · TW

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 11.43 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

36.65 TWD 10.60 TWD Fair Value 11.43 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.60 TWD – 36.65 TWD · fair‑value band 8.53 TWD – 12.80 TWD · the 34.20 TWD price screens above the 11.43 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

AUO Corporation engages in the research, development, production, and sale of thin film transistor liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCDs) and other flat panel displays for various applications. The company operates through two segments, Display and Energy.

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AUO Corporation engages in the research, development, production, and sale of thin film transistor liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCDs) and other flat panel displays for various applications. The company operates through two segments, Display and Energy. It designs, manufactures, and sells ingots, solar wafers, and solar modules, as well as provides technical engineering and maintenance services for solar system projects. The company also sells and leases content management system and related hardware; designs digital signage content and field curation solutions; plans, designs, and develops construction project for environmental protection and related project management; and designs, manufactures, and sells TFT-LCD modules, TV sets and related parts, backlight modules, automotive parts, and precision plastic parts. In addition, it engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of medical equipment; services related to site rental and educational activities; research and development, and IP related business; solar power generation; and sale and sales support of TFTLCD panels. Further, the company designs, develops, and sells software and hardware for health care industry; provides software and hardware integration system and equipment relating to intelligent manufacturing, as well as software development and related consulting services; and investment services. it operates in the People's Republic of China, Taiwan, the United States, Japan, Singapore, and internationally. The company was formerly known as AU Optronics Corp. and changed its name to AUO Corporation in June 2022. AUO Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

AU Optronics (2409) currently trades at 34.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.43 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 199.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 32.35 TWD per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the 34.20 TWD price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.12 TWD, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 8.53 TWD (bear) to 12.80 TWD (bull), the price of 34.20 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

AU Optronics reported revenue of 281B TWD in FY2025 versus 371B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding −42.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 264B TWD (≈ $8.3B) · P/E ratio 106.9 · P/S ratio 2.60 · EPS (TTM) 0.3200 TWD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 217% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −67%, 2409 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 8.53 TWD Fair Value 11.43 TWD Bull 12.80 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2341 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 23.62 TWD 32.35 TWD 49.22 TWD 76
Residual Income 15.00 TWD 14.93 TWD 13.62 TWD 76
Gordon GGM 2.68 TWD 3.12 TWD 3.61 TWD 69
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 23.62 TWD 32.35 TWD 49.22 TWD 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.17 TWD 9.50 TWD 11.36 TWD 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.68 TWD 3.12 TWD 3.61 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 2.68 TWD 3.47 TWD 4.44 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19.04 TWD 25.39 TWD 31.74 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 11.56 TWD 15.41 TWD 19.27 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 11.56 TWD 15.41 TWD 19.27 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA 48.76 TWD 65.93 TWD 83.10 TWD 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.07 TWD 13.49 TWD 20.14 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.00 TWD 14.93 TWD 13.62 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 13.32 TWD 19.03 TWD 24.74 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

2409 screens 199% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −67% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 106.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.13× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.84 $91.12 +10%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $159.69 $34.01 −79%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.80 TWD +17%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥54.84 ¥18.55 −66%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥198.12 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $213.48 $140.75 −34%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 800.51 TWD −84%
Yageo Corporation 2327 580.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −9%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AU Optronics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2409

Frequently asked questions

Is AU Optronics (2409) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.43 TWD versus a price of 34.20 TWD, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2409?
Our model-based fair value for AU Optronics is 11.43 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 34.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2409?
AU Optronics has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AU Optronics (2409)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.43 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.53 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.80 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AU Optronics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.43 TWD, about −67% upside versus a price of 34.20 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.53 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.80 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AU Optronics (2409)?
AU Optronics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 278B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does AU Optronics pay a dividend?
AU Optronics currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AU Optronics (2409)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AU Optronics it is 11.43 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 34.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AU Optronics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2409 trades above its calculated fair value: price 34.20 TWD, fair value 11.43 TWD, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2409?
No. The price is what the market pays today (34.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.43 TWD). For AU Optronics the two are 22.77 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AU Optronics worth?
The market values AU Optronics at about 264B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 34.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 11.43 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2409?
Our models span a range for AU Optronics: cautious scenario 8.53 TWD, base 11.43 TWD, optimistic 12.80 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 34.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2409?
AU Optronics trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 106.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.43 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.7, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 2409?
The PEG ratio of AU Optronics is 0.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of AU Optronics (2409)?
Balance-sheet figures for AU Optronics (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2409 from its 52-week high?
AU Optronics trades at 34.20 TWD, about 7% below its 52-week high of 36.65 TWD and 217% above the low of 10.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.43 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AU Optronics?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AU Optronics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 34.20 TWD, calculated fair value 11.43 TWD (−67%), Quality Score 51/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2409 calculated?
We run AU Optronics through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.43 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. AU Optronics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AU Optronics (2409)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 34.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 11.43 TWD, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AU Optronics right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.80 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of AU Optronics

How large is the market capitalisation of AU Optronics (2409)?
The market capitalisation of AU Optronics is 264B TWD (≈ $8.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AU Optronics (2409)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AU Optronics is 2.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AU Optronics (2409)?
Earnings per share at AU Optronics are 0.3200 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 106.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AU Optronics (2409)?
The dividend yield of AU Optronics is 1.2% (payout 126%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AU Optronics (2409)?
The net margin of AU Optronics is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AU Optronics (2409)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AU Optronics is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AU Optronics (2409)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AU Optronics is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AU Optronics (2409)?
The operating margin of AU Optronics is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AU Optronics (2409)?
Revenue at AU Optronics is growing −4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AU Optronics (2409)?
Earnings per share at AU Optronics are growing +80.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AU Optronics (2409) generate?
The free cash flow of AU Optronics is −7.0B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AU Optronics (2409) carry?
The net debt of AU Optronics is 61.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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