AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AVerMedia Technologies Inc TWD 14.49, price TWD 39.05, upside -62.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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AVerMedia Technologies, Inc. engages in research, development, manufacturing, and sale of computer system equipment and multimedia related products.
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AVerMedia Technologies, Inc. engages in research, development, manufacturing, and sale of computer system equipment and multimedia related products. It provides webcam; capture device; speakerphone, microphone, wireless microphone, and accessories; live streaming controller; multi-functional video conferencing camera; and imaging products and audio products, as well as software. The company's products are used in streaming, audio-visual creation, remote work, educational institutions, enterprises and government agencies; and live broadcast applications. AVerMedia Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) currently trades at 39.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.49 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 169.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 20.03 TWD per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 39.05 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.98 TWD, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 14.44 TWD (bear) to 14.52 TWD (bull), the price of 39.05 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AVerMedia Technologies Inc reported revenue of 3.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −24.0M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.9B TWD (≈ $155M) · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) −0.1900 TWD · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −63%, 2417 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 14.44 TWDFair Value 14.49 TWDBull 14.52 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.5% (2020) → 0.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.0% a year for the price.
Compare AVerMedia Technologies Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)84· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.49 TWD versus a price of 39.05 TWD, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2417?
Our model-based fair value for AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 14.49 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 39.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2417?
AVerMedia Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.49 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.44 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.52 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AVerMedia Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.49 TWD, about −63% upside versus a price of 39.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.44 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.52 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
AVerMedia Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does AVerMedia Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
AVerMedia Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AVerMedia Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +38.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -13.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2417 use?
Our models discount AVerMedia Technologies Inc at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AVerMedia Technologies Inc that is +38.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AVerMedia Technologies Inc grew -13.8 % a year. The price currently implies +38.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AVerMedia Technologies Inc (+38.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.29 %: that much free cash flow AVerMedia Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AVerMedia Technologies Inc it is 14.49 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 39.05 TWD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AVerMedia Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2417 trades above its calculated fair value: price 39.05 TWD, fair value 14.49 TWD, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2417?
No. The price is what the market pays today (39.05 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.49 TWD). For AVerMedia Technologies Inc the two are 24.56 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AVerMedia Technologies Inc worth?
The market values AVerMedia Technologies Inc at about 4.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 39.05 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 14.49 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2417?
Our models span a range for AVerMedia Technologies Inc: cautious scenario 14.44 TWD, base 14.49 TWD, optimistic 14.52 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 39.05 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Balance-sheet figures for AVerMedia Technologies Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2417 from its 52-week high?
AVerMedia Technologies Inc trades at 39.05 TWD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 56.90 TWD and 17% above the low of 33.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.49 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AVerMedia Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AVerMedia Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 39.05 TWD, calculated fair value 14.49 TWD (−63%), Quality Score 58/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2417 calculated?
We run AVerMedia Technologies Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.49 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AVerMedia Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 39.05 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 14.49 TWD, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AVerMedia Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (14.44 TWD to 14.52 TWD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of AVerMedia Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The market capitalisation of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 4.9B TWD (≈ $155M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 1.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Earnings per share at AVerMedia Technologies Inc are −0.1900 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The dividend yield of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The net margin of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is −0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
The operating margin of AVerMedia Technologies Inc is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Revenue at AVerMedia Technologies Inc is growing +16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417)?
Earnings per share at AVerMedia Technologies Inc are growing +65.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does AVerMedia Technologies Inc (2417) hold?
AVerMedia Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, 1.1B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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