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Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co (2427) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$2.8B

GM Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co 2427 · HK
PriceHK$2.29
Fair ValueHK$1.41
Upside-38.3%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -33.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.9400 – HK$1.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.1800 to HK$1.41 (+683.3%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.9400 to HK$1.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$7.61 HK$0.2741 Fair Value HK$1.41 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range HK$0.2741 – HK$7.61 · fair‑value band HK$0.9400 – HK$1.73 · the HK$2.29 price screens above the HK$1.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co (2427) currently trades at HK$2.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co generated revenue of HK$88.4M at a net margin of -33.6%. Revenue declined 51.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.2%. Net debt stands at HK$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.9400 (bear case) to HK$1.73 (bull case); at HK$2.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -38%, 2427 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2400 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2600 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2400 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.1800) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$88.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -51.1%
Net margin -33.6%
Return on equity -12.2%
Free cash flow −HK$9.2M FY2025
Operating margin -37.9%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +51.7%
Net debt HK$2.8M FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides medical imaging solutions in the People's Republic of China. The company sells medical imaging film products including medical dry laser films, thermal films and medical printing films for hospitals and healthcare institutions.

Full company description

Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides medical imaging solutions in the People's Republic of China. The company sells medical imaging film products including medical dry laser films, thermal films and medical printing films for hospitals and healthcare institutions. It also offers medical imaging cloud services; and software solutions. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co reported revenue of HK$88.4M in FY2025 versus HK$211M in FY2021, a compound −19.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$29.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$88.4M
Latest YoY
−43.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.5%
Revenue −19.5%/yr
FY21 HK$211M
FY22 HK$177M
FY23 HK$156M
FY24 HK$156M
FY25 HK$88.4M
Net income
FY21 HK$22.9M
FY22 HK$17.9M
FY23 HK$27.6M
FY24 HK$17.2M
FY25 −HK$29.7M

2427 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2427

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 135 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Above median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -51% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.52× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.99× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 25
PAST 0 · sector 11
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $543.19 $308.19 -43%
Danaher Corporation DHR $199.66 $103.88 -48%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$160.70 HK$125.20 -22%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 567.80 CHF 259.80 -54%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $567.44 $255.77 -55%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $131.46 $62.70 -52%
Waters Corporation WAT $368.98 $121.96 -67%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $207.85 $134.18 -35%
Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC $0.0050 $0.0053 +5%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $186.65 $95.51 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co (2427) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.41 versus a price of HK$2.29, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2427?
Our model-based fair value for Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co is HK$1.41 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.29.
What is the quality score of 2427?
Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co (2427)?
Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$88.4M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2427?
The net profit margin of Guanze Medical Information Industry (Holding) Co is about -33.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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