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Mercuries Data Systems Ltd (2427) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 4.7B TWD

MD Mercuries Data Systems Ltd 2427 · TW
Price21.90 TWD
Fair Value28.58 TWD
Upside+30.5%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.18% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 20.69 TWD – 36.48 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −12.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from 20.69 TWD (bear) to 36.48 TWD (bull), base 28.58 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

35.35 TWD 9.72 TWD Fair Value 28.58 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.72 TWD – 35.35 TWD · fair‑value band 20.69 TWD – 36.48 TWD · the 21.90 TWD price screens below the 28.58 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Mercuries Data Systems Ltd (2427) currently trades at 21.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28.58 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mercuries Data Systems Ltd generated revenue of 7.3B TWD at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 70.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at 594M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 20.69 TWD (bear case) to 36.48 TWD (bull case); at 21.90 TWD, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at 31%, 2427 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 86.46 TWD 127.09 TWD 183.03 TWD 80
Residual Income 14.12 TWD 15.39 TWD 19.54 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 39.30 TWD 53.20 TWD 69.80 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 85.28 TWD 131.56 TWD 199.52 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 10.64 TWD 17.46 TWD 27.49 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 39.30 TWD 51.79 TWD 66.24 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 42.80 TWD 58.36 TWD 75.38 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 42.37 TWD 57.54 TWD 72.71 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 55.24 TWD 70.58 TWD 88.86 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 57.90 TWD 75.04 TWD 95.68 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 57.63 TWD 74.49 TWD 93.69 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.39 TWD 32.67 TWD 43.49 TWD 54
Lynch FV 7.15 TWD 10.21 TWD 13.27 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 7.15 TWD 10.21 TWD 13.27 TWD 46
EPV 10.71 TWD 12.76 TWD 14.53 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.11 TWD 12.18 TWD 18.44 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 6.11 TWD 9.97 TWD 12.85 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 22.92 TWD 30.57 TWD 38.21 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 19.49 TWD 25.98 TWD 32.48 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 19.49 TWD 25.98 TWD 32.48 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 21.98 TWD 30.06 TWD 38.15 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 21.41 TWD 29.31 TWD 37.20 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 14.07 TWD 21.08 TWD 28.09 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.31 TWD 11.13 TWD 16.62 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 86.46 TWD 127.09 TWD 183.03 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 39.30 TWD 53.20 TWD 69.80 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.12 TWD 15.39 TWD 19.54 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.71 TWD 12.76 TWD 14.53 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 19.12 TWD 27.32 TWD 35.51 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (58.36 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (9.97 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +70.5%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow 1.6B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 16.6
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) 1.44 TWD
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.2%
Net debt 594M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mercuries Data Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sales, leasing, and maintenance of financial automation service machines in Taiwan.

Full company description

Mercuries Data Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sales, leasing, and maintenance of financial automation service machines in Taiwan. The company offers financial software systems, such as whitelist management, deposit machine management, device management, E-APT batching machine centralized management, multimedia reception service, teller safe management, and BTS financial branch terminal systems, as well as ATM operation integration platform; and financial automation products, including foreign exchange banknote exchange machine, professional payment kiosk, deposit machine, recycling cash dispenser, and automatic passbook printer. It also provides train dispatching radio systems; RF system for government; information technology services comprising medical information services, government procurement section, solutions for insurance industry, enterprise performance management solution, search and rescue dispatch system, 911 dispatch systems and emergency intelligent platform, SKMS stock management system, navy METOC HPC system, intelligent pre-registration and check-in management system for exhibitions, power company user electricity service big data platform, and power company's new distribution engineering information system; and automated ticket management and MRT automatic fare collection system. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of attendance, sales, maintenance, merchandising, and inspection management systems; planning, development, construction, and maintenance of software and hardware accommodating for the integrated system; management consultant and computer equipment installation; information software processing services; investment activity; computer and information software development, production, and sales; and self-produced product business and related technical consulting services. Mercuries Data Systems Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mercuries Data Systems Ltd reported revenue of 6.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was 303M TWD in FY2025, compounding +19.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.5B TWD
Latest YoY
+33.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+2.1%
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY21 3.5B TWD
FY22 3.8B TWD
FY23 4.0B TWD
FY24 4.9B TWD
FY25 6.5B TWD
Net income +19.3%/yr
FY21 149M TWD
FY22 192M TWD
FY23 252M TWD
FY24 282M TWD
FY25 303M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mercuries Data Systems Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2427.TW

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 71% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 31 · sector 16
HEALTH 82 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 64 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ricoh Company RICO ¥15.33 ¥17.99 +17%
GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥10.08 ¥6.90 -32%
Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 ¥21.45 ¥30.05 +40%
XGD Inc 300130 ¥19.90 ¥15.67 -21%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,260 ₹782.96 -65%
Hengbao Co 002104 ¥9.20 ¥1.66 -82%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥6.99 ¥1.75 -75%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.30 ¥3.11 -57%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.00 ¥1.73 -71%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥11.92 ¥21.12 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mercuries Data Systems Ltd (2427) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 28.58 TWD versus a price of 21.90 TWD, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2427?
Our model-based fair value for Mercuries Data Systems Ltd is 28.58 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 21.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2427?
Mercuries Data Systems Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Mercuries Data Systems Ltd (2427)?
Mercuries Data Systems Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2427?
The net profit margin of Mercuries Data Systems Ltd is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mercuries Data Systems Ltd pay a dividend?
Mercuries Data Systems Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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