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Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad (2445) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 24.3B MYR

KL Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad 2445 · KLSE
Price22.90 MYR
Fair Value12.48 MYR
Upside-45.5%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.75% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range 9.36 MYR – 15.59 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +6.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.59 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

25.56 MYR 15.58 MYR Fair Value 12.48 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.58 MYR – 25.56 MYR · fair‑value band 9.36 MYR – 15.59 MYR · the 22.90 MYR price screens above the 12.48 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad (2445) currently trades at 22.90 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.48 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 45.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad generated revenue of 25.6B MYR at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 9.6B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.36 MYR (bear case) to 15.59 MYR (bull case); at 22.90 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -46%, 2445 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.43 MYR 4.71 MYR 80
Residual Income 10.03 MYR 10.32 MYR 10.33 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 8.66 MYR 19.45 MYR 32.73 MYR 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 5.72 MYR 12.29 MYR 23.17 MYR 31
5Y P/E Exit 4.45 MYR 11.55 MYR 19.49 MYR 38
10Y P/E Exit 2.68 MYR 8.46 MYR 16.41 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.99 MYR 20.19 MYR 27.47 MYR 54
Lynch FV 5.04 MYR 7.21 MYR 9.37 MYR 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.69 MYR 5.59 MYR 8.86 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.69 MYR 4.71 MYR 5.86 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 11.56 MYR 15.41 MYR 19.26 MYR 63
P/B Multiple 9.36 MYR 12.48 MYR 15.59 MYR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.40 MYR 8.57 MYR 12.79 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.43 MYR 4.71 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.66 MYR 19.45 MYR 32.73 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.03 MYR 10.32 MYR 10.33 MYR 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (12.48 MYR) versus Growth DCF (1.43 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.6B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow 270M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 20.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) 1.00 MYR
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +88.8%
Net debt 9.6B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad engages in the plantation, manufacturing, and property development businesses. The company operates through five segments: Plantation, Manufacturing, Property Development, Investment Holding, and Others.

Full company description

Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad engages in the plantation, manufacturing, and property development businesses. The company operates through five segments: Plantation, Manufacturing, Property Development, Investment Holding, and Others. It is involved in the cultivation, processing, and marketing of palm and rubber products; extraction of crude palm oil; refining of palm products; and kernel crushing and trading of palm products. The company also offers oleochemicals, fatty acids and esters, fatty alcohols and derivatives, other chemicals, non-ionic surfactants and esters, and palm phytonutrients and other palm derivatives; specialty fat, shortening, and cocoa butter substitutes products; basic organic chemicals from agricultural products; alcohol ether sulphates, alcohol sulphates, and sulphonic acids; and rubber gloves, parquet flooring products, pharmaceutical and bio-pharmaceutical intermediates, and fine chemicals. In addition, it engages in the provision of farming and management services; agronomic service and research business; operation of biogas capture plants; and placement of deposits with licensed banks, and investment in money market funds and quoted and unquoted corporations. Further, the company operates holiday bungalows; develops residential and commercial properties; stores and distributes bulk liquid; invests in, rents, and manages properties; manufactures jams and preserves; owns and operates aircrafts; and offers offshore captive insurance, management, and consultation services, as well as logistics services related to palm products. It operates in Malaysia, Far East, the Middle East, South East Asia, Southern Asia, Europe, North America, South America, Australia, Africa, and internationally. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Ipoh, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad reported revenue of 25.0B MYR in FY2025 versus 19.9B MYR in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was 817M MYR in FY2025, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
25.0B MYR
Latest YoY
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+9.3%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 19.9B MYR
FY22 27.1B MYR
FY23 23.6B MYR
FY24 22.3B MYR
FY25 25.0B MYR
Net income −22.4%/yr
FY21 2.3B MYR
FY22 2.2B MYR
FY23 834M MYR
FY24 591M MYR
FY25 817M MYR

2445 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2445

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 22.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 17 · sector 16
PAST 33 · sector 20
HEALTH 77 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$11.28 HK$22.56 +100%
SK Inc 034730 580,000 KRW 497,919 KRW -14%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,810 IDR 9,620 IDR +100%
The Siam Cement Public Company SCC 254.00 THB 199.40 THB -21%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,875 ₹1,053 -63%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,330 CLP 10,879 CLP +72%
Posco International Corporation 047050 50,900 KRW 61,248 KRW +20%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,940 ₹559.30 -81%
Doosan Corporation 000155 464,000 KRW 75,620 KRW -84%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad (2445) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.48 MYR versus a price of 22.90 MYR, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2445?
Our model-based fair value for Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad is 12.48 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 22.90 MYR.
What is the quality score of 2445?
Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad (2445)?
Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.6B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2445?
The net profit margin of Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad pay a dividend?
Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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