Astra International Tbk (ASII) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Astra International Tbk is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Industrials · ID · Market cap 191T IDR (≈ $19.1B) · ISIN ID1000122807
At a glance
AIAstra International TbkASII · JK
Price4,930 IDR
Fair Value9,600 IDR
Upside+94.7%
Quality58/100
A solid business, trading 49% below our fair value of 9,600 IDR.
As of Sep 1, 2026, the fair value of Astra International Tbk is 9,600 IDR per share against a price of 4,930 IDR, so the fair value sits 95% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·7.91% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (14/15)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: LowRange 6,176 IDR to 13,874 IDR
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from 9,580 IDR to 9,600 IDR (+0.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −3.3% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,176 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range (6,176 IDR to 13,874 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,146 IDR – 7,044 IDR · fair‑value band 6,176 IDR – 13,874 IDR · the 4,930 IDR price screens below the 9,600 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Astra International Tbk (ASII) currently trades at 4,930 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,600 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 18,046 IDR per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the 4,930 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3,828 IDR, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Astra International Tbk generated revenue of 319T IDR at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 58.8T IDR. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Scenario range: 6,176 IDR (bear) to 13,874 IDR (bull), the price of 4,930 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 95%, ASII screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (272.84 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence10,874 IDR16,627 IDR25,409 IDR78
Owner Earnings10,565 IDR17,016 IDR27,540 IDR75
Rev-Margin DCF8,105 IDR12,501 IDR17,665 IDR72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings10,565 IDR17,016 IDR27,540 IDR75
5Y P/E Exit11,842 IDR19,549 IDR27,736 IDR70
10Y P/E Exit11,357 IDR18,046 IDR26,434 IDR63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd5,562 IDR18,490 IDR24,747 IDR64
Lynch FV4,185 IDR5,979 IDR7,773 IDR61
Multiples
P/E Multiple13,496 IDR17,994 IDR22,493 IDR63
P/B Multiple10,428 IDR13,905 IDR17,381 IDR55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)2,857 IDR3,828 IDR5,714 IDR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence10,874 IDR16,627 IDR25,409 IDR78
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio6.3
P/S ratio0.64P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)785.19 IDRprice ÷ EPS = P/E 6.3
Dividend yield7.9%payout 49.7%
Net margin10.1%FY2025
Return on equity13.3%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)9.2%avg 5y
Operating margin8.6%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)319T IDRTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−5.6%3y avg +2.4%
EPS growth (YoY)−14.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow34.1T IDRFY2025
Net debt58.8T IDRFY2025 · ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality58/100
Of which business quality 57
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Profitability44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.
Full company description
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy, infrastructure and logistics, Agribusiness, Information Technology, and Property segments. The Automotive segment includes car, motorcycle, component, and others. Its Financial Services segment engages in car, motorcycle, heavy equipment financing, and Insurance. The Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy segment engages in construction machines, mining contractor, mining, and construction. Its infrastructure and logistics segment includes infrastructure and logistics value chain services; Agribusiness segment include oil palm plantations and their derivative products. The Information Technology segment comprises document solutions, IT Solutions, and office solutions; and Property development segment. The company also engages in sales of spare parts, heavy equipment and rental services, mining and related services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra International Tbk is a subsidiary of Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Astra International Tbk reported revenue of 323T IDR in FY2025 versus 233T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 32.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
323T IDR
Latest YoY
−2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in IDR) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+10.2%
Dividend yield7.9%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 10.2% vs 10Y 8.0%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11.2% (2020) → 12.0% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop26% (2020) · in IDR
Revenue+8.5%/yr
FY21233T IDR
FY22301T IDR
FY23317T IDR
FY24331T IDR
FY25323T IDR
Net income+12.9%/yr
FY2120.2T IDR
FY2228.9T IDR
FY2333.8T IDR
FY2434.1T IDR
FY2532.8T IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+8.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share+6.2 %
of which total revenue +6.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
EBIT margin+3.2 %
Tax rate−0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Astra International Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASII
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+96% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)6.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.77× · Cheaper than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Astra International Tbk deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years-3.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+13.1 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.6 %
FCF yield on price17.09 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models11.5 %
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 27
FUTURE0· sector 16
PAST53· sector 17
HEALTH91· sector 89
DIVIDEND100· sector 41
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
Is Astra International Tbk (ASII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,600 IDR versus a price of 4,930 IDR, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASII?
Our model-based fair value for Astra International Tbk is 9,600 IDR (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,930 IDR.
What is the quality score of ASII?
Astra International Tbk has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Astra International Tbk (ASII)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9,600 IDR (as of Sep 1, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,176 IDR, optimistic scenario 13,874 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Astra International Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9,600 IDR, about +95% upside versus a price of 4,930 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6,176 IDR, optimistic scenario 13,874 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Astra International Tbk (ASII)?
Astra International Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 319T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASII?
The net profit margin of Astra International Tbk is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Astra International Tbk pay a dividend?
Astra International Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Astra International Tbk (ASII)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Astra International Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 11.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASII use?
Our models discount Astra International Tbk at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Astra International Tbk (ASII)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Astra International Tbk it is 9,600 IDR per share (as of Sep 1, 2026), against a price of 4,930 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Astra International Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 1, 2026, ASII trades below its calculated fair value: price 4,930 IDR, fair value 9,600 IDR, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASII?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,930 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9,600 IDR). For Astra International Tbk the two are 4,670 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Astra International Tbk worth?
The market values Astra International Tbk at about 191T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 1, 2026). Per share that is 4,930 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 9,600 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASII?
Our models span a range for Astra International Tbk: cautious scenario 6,176 IDR, base 9,600 IDR, optimistic 13,874 IDR per share (as of Sep 1, 2026, price 4,930 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASII?
Astra International Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.3 (as of Sep 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9,600 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 0.8, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.1.
What is the PEG ratio of ASII?
The PEG ratio of Astra International Tbk is 0.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 1, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Astra International Tbk (ASII)?
Balance-sheet figures for Astra International Tbk (as of Sep 1, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASII from its 52-week high?
Astra International Tbk trades at 4,930 IDR, about 31% below its 52-week high of 7,116 IDR and 20% above the low of 4,119 IDR (as of Sep 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9,600 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Astra International Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Astra International Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 1, 2026: price 4,930 IDR, calculated fair value 9,600 IDR (+95%), Quality Score 58/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASII calculated?
We run Astra International Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9,600 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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