WellCell Holdings (2477) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −15.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range HK$0.1680 – HK$6.96 · fair‑value band HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0900 · the HK$0.2370 price screens above the HK$0.0700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
WellCell Holdings (2477) currently trades at HK$0.2370, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, WellCell Holdings generated revenue of HK$219M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$23.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0500 (bear case) to HK$0.0900 (bull case); at HK$0.2370, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -70%, 2477 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0600) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
WellCell Holdings Co., Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication network support, and information and communication technology (ICT) integration services provider in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong.
Full company description
WellCell Holdings Co., Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication network support, and information and communication technology (ICT) integration services provider in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers telecommunication network support services, including wireless telecommunication network enhancement, and telecommunication network infrastructure maintenance and engineering services. It also provides ICT integration services; and engages in the development and sale of telecommunication network-related software and provision of customised software. It serves telecommunication operators, telecommunication network and equipment manufacturers and telecommunication network and technical service providers and general contractors, and others. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, the People's Republic of China. WellCell Holdings Co., Limited is a subsidiary of WellCell Group.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
WellCell Holdings reported revenue of HK$213M in FY2026 versus HK$203M in FY2022, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$14.9M in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.
2477 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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