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WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd HK$0.07, price HK$0.21, upside -66.5%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · HK

WH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

WellCell Holdings Co Ltd

2477 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0700 · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$6.96 HK$0.1680 Fair Value HK$0.0700 Jan 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range HK$0.1680 – HK$6.96 · fair‑value band HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0900 · the HK$0.2090 price screens above the HK$0.0700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

WellCell Holdings Co., Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication network support, and information and communication technology (ICT) integration services provider in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong.

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WellCell Holdings Co., Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication network support, and information and communication technology (ICT) integration services provider in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers telecommunication network support services, including wireless telecommunication network enhancement, and telecommunication network infrastructure maintenance and engineering services. It also provides ICT integration services; and engages in the development and sale of telecommunication network-related software and provision of customised software. It serves telecommunication operators, telecommunication network and equipment manufacturers and telecommunication network and technical service providers and general contractors, and others. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, the People's Republic of China. WellCell Holdings Co., Limited is a subsidiary of WellCell Group.

Stock analysis

WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477) currently trades at HK$0.2090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 198.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0600 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$0.2090 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.0300, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0500 (bear) to HK$0.0900 (bull), the price of HK$0.2090 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

WellCell Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 213M CNY in FY2026 versus 203M CNY in FY2022, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 14.9M CNY in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.4B (≈ $184M) · P/S ratio 6.59 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9% · Operating margin −12.9% · Revenue (TTM) 219M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 97% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −67%, 2477 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0500 Fair Value HK$0.0700 Bull HK$0.0900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0024 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 78
Residual Income HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 71
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 67
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → −6%

2477 screens 199% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −25% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 76

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.45 HK$114.85 +70%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $165.66 $270.48 +63%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $46.52 $69.92 +50%
AT&T Inc T $25.10 $50.40 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,833 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.08 $32.49 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 656.50 CHF 505.18 −23%

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WellCell Holdings Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0700 −199%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WellCell Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2477

Frequently asked questions

Is WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0700 versus a price of HK$0.2090, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2477?
Our model-based fair value for WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.0700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2090.
What is the quality score of 2477?
WellCell Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0500, optimistic scenario HK$0.0900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WellCell Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0700, about −67% upside versus a price of HK$0.2090 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0500, optimistic scenario HK$0.0900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
WellCell Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 219M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WellCell Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.0700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2090. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WellCell Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2477 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2090, fair value HK$0.0700, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2477?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2090); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0700). For WellCell Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.1390 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WellCell Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values WellCell Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2090; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2477?
Our models span a range for WellCell Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0500, base HK$0.0700, optimistic HK$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.2090). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Balance-sheet figures for WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2477 from its 52-week high?
WellCell Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.2090, about 97% below its 52-week high of HK$6.96 and 24% above the low of HK$0.1680 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WellCell Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WellCell Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.2090, calculated fair value HK$0.0700 (−67%), Quality Score 36/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2477 calculated?
We run WellCell Holdings Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. WellCell Holdings Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.2090. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0700, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WellCell Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The market capitalisation of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is HK$1.4B (≈ $184M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is 6.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Earnings per share at WellCell Holdings Co Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The net margin of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is 7.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
The operating margin of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is −12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Revenue at WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is growing −25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477)?
Earnings per share at WellCell Holdings Co Ltd are growing −19.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477) generate?
The free cash flow of WellCell Holdings Co Ltd is −35.0M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does WellCell Holdings Co Ltd (2477) hold?
WellCell Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 23.3M CNY net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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