Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd HK$7.54, price HK$21.30, upside -64.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Xizang Zhihui Mining Co., Ltd. engages in the exploration, mining, production, and sale of non-ferrous metal concentrates in the People's Republic of China. It primarily explores lead, zinc, silver, and copper concentrates. Xizang Zhihui Mining Co., Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Nagqu, China.
Stock analysis
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546) currently trades at HK$21.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.54, implying the stock looks roughly 182.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$9.62 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$21.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$1.31, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$4.00 (bear) to HK$9.43 (bull), the price of HK$21.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd reported revenue of 616M CNY in FY2025 versus 482M CNY in FY2022, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 150M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$10.4B (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 32.4 · P/S ratio 7.89 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 24.4% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 28.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −65%, 2546 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$1.31 to HK$14.59). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$4.00Fair Value HK$7.54Bull HK$9.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+104.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 29%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 552 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−67% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)32.4× · Pricier than median
P/B0.86× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.27× · Pricier than median
P/FCF85.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)45· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2546
Frequently asked questions
Is Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.54 versus a price of HK$21.30, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2546?
Our model-based fair value for Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is HK$7.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$21.30.
What is the quality score of 2546?
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$7.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.00, optimistic scenario HK$9.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$7.54, about −65% upside versus a price of HK$21.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.00, optimistic scenario HK$9.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 616M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2546 use?
Our models discount Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.18 %: that much free cash flow Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd it is HK$7.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$21.30. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2546 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$21.30, fair value HK$7.54, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2546?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$21.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$7.54). For Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd the two are HK$13.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd at about HK$10.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$21.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$7.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2546?
Our models span a range for Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$4.00, base HK$7.54, optimistic HK$9.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$21.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2546?
Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$7.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$21.30, calculated fair value HK$7.54 (−65%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2546 calculated?
We run Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$7.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$21.30. Our model-based fair value is HK$7.54, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$9.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$4.00 to HK$9.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The market capitalisation of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is HK$10.4B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 7.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The dividend yield of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The net margin of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 24.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 9.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd (2546)?
The operating margin of Xizang Zhihui Mining Co Ltd is 28.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
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