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Anhui Conch Material Tech Co (2560) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$812M

AC Anhui Conch Material Tech Co 2560 · HK
PriceHK$1.44
Fair ValueHK$2.18
Upside+51.7%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
11.51% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.81 – HK$3.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

HK$2.04 HK$1.07 Fair Value HK$2.18 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range HK$1.07 – HK$2.04 · fair‑value band HK$1.81 – HK$3.26 · the HK$1.44 price screens below the HK$2.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Conch Material Tech Co (2560) currently trades at HK$1.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.18, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Conch Material Tech Co generated revenue of HK$2.3B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at HK$588M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.81 (bear case) to HK$3.26 (bull case); at HK$1.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 52%, 2560 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.7900 HK$0.9900 HK$1.22 80
Residual Income HK$1.87 HK$1.97 HK$2.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.74 HK$2.79 HK$3.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.7900 HK$1.00 HK$1.28 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.5000 HK$0.6000 HK$0.7300 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.74 HK$2.81 HK$4.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.96 HK$3.21 HK$4.64 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.69 HK$3.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.27 HK$2.09 HK$3.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.46 HK$2.34 HK$3.50 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.29 HK$2.02 HK$2.88 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.25 HK$3.36 HK$4.40 54
Lynch FV HK$0.6600 HK$0.9400 HK$1.22 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.6600 HK$0.9400 HK$1.22 46
EPV HK$1.93 HK$2.16 HK$2.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.32 HK$2.38 HK$3.28 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.32 HK$1.94 HK$2.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.34 HK$3.12 HK$3.90 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.34 HK$3.12 HK$3.90 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.34 HK$3.12 HK$3.90 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.89 HK$3.77 HK$4.66 53
EV/EBITDA HK$3.12 HK$4.09 HK$5.05 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.53 HK$3.52 HK$4.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.19 HK$1.59 HK$2.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7900 HK$0.9900 HK$1.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.74 HK$2.79 HK$3.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.87 HK$1.97 HK$2.05 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.93 HK$2.16 HK$2.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.88 HK$2.69 HK$3.50 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.12) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.9400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow HK$35.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 7.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0900
Dividend yield 11.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.4%
Net debt HK$588M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Conch Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, trade, and sale of cement admixture, concrete admixture, and related intermediaries in Mainland China and Asia. The company offers polyether monomer, finished concrete admixtures, and polycarboxylic acid mother liquor products.

Full company description

Anhui Conch Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, trade, and sale of cement admixture, concrete admixture, and related intermediaries in Mainland China and Asia. The company offers polyether monomer, finished concrete admixtures, and polycarboxylic acid mother liquor products. It also produces and sells grinding aids for quality intelligent monitoring system. Anhui Conch Material Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Wuhu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Conch Material Tech Co reported revenue of HK$2.3B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$107M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.3B
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.5B
FY22 HK$1.8B
FY23 HK$2.4B
FY24 HK$2.4B
FY25 HK$2.3B
Net income −4.8%/yr
FY21 HK$130M
FY22 HK$75.9M
FY23 HK$117M
FY24 HK$126M
FY25 HK$107M

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Anhui Conch Material Tech Co · Fair Value
HK$2.18 +52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Conch Material Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2560

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 41 · sector 15
HEALTH 89 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.31 ¥13.22 -69%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,308 ₹1,245 -62%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 12.27 MXN -43%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹421.00 ₹216.73 -49%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹25,570 ₹8,215 -68%
TCC Group 1101B 43.15 TWD 9.76 TWD -77%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 57.60 TWD 13.98 TWD -76%
J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT ₹5,349 ₹2,184 -59%
Dalmia Bharat Limited DALBHARAT ₹1,842 ₹1,032 -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Conch Material Tech Co (2560) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.18 versus a price of HK$1.44, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2560?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Conch Material Tech Co is HK$2.18 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.44.
What is the quality score of 2560?
Anhui Conch Material Tech Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Conch Material Tech Co (2560)?
Anhui Conch Material Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2560?
The net profit margin of Anhui Conch Material Tech Co is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Conch Material Tech Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Conch Material Tech Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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