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2561 (2561) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · Market cap HK$2.8B

2 2561 2561 · HK
PriceHK$25.00
Fair ValueHK$6.10
Upside-75.6%
Quality32/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$4.03 – HK$7.62

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +13.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$51.75 HK$19.24 Fair Value HK$6.10 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$19.24 – HK$51.75 · fair‑value band HK$4.03 – HK$7.62 · the HK$25.00 price screens above the HK$6.10 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2561 (2561) currently trades at HK$25.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.10 — implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$136K. Revenue declined 68.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -50.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$456M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$136K
Revenue growth (YoY) -68.6%
Return on equity -50.5%
Free cash flow −HK$450M FY2025
Operating margin 17,848%
EPS (TTM) HK$-1.18
More key figures
Net cash HK$456M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2561 reported revenue of HK$161K in FY2025 versus −HK$2.3M in FY2022. Reported net income was −HK$247M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY22 −HK$2.3M
FY23 −HK$1.7M
FY24 HK$2.8M
FY25 HK$161K
Net income
FY22 −HK$289M
FY23 −HK$250M
FY24 −HK$182M
FY25 −HK$247M

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Similar stocks

6 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1276 1276 HK$57.85 HK$29.84 -48%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥47.08 ¥26.59 -44%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,786 ₹991.46 -44%
Zoetis Inc Z1TS34 R$25.93 R$19.70 -24%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$29.30 HK$23.90 -18%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹6,639 ₹1,281 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2561 (2561) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.10 versus a price of HK$25.00 — about −76% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2561?
Our model-based fair value for 2561 is HK$6.10 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$25.00.
What is the quality score of 2561?
2561 has a Quality Score of 32/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2561 (2561)?
2561 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$136K (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2561?
The net profit margin of 2561 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.