China Pacific Insurance (2601) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$265B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$61.12 to HK$57.64 (−5.7%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 103% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$43.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$10.03 – HK$38.35 · fair‑value band HK$43.23 – HK$72.05 · the HK$28.36 price screens below the HK$57.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Pacific Insurance (2601) currently trades at HK$28.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$57.64, implying the stock looks roughly 103.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Pacific Insurance generated revenue of HK$331B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at HK$166B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$43.23 (bear case) to HK$72.05 (bull case); at HK$28.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 103%, 2601 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$49.05) versus Asset-Based (HK$21.05). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 2601 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products to in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Life and Health Insurance, Property and Casualty Insurance, Asset Management, and Other Business segments.
Full company description
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products to in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Life and Health Insurance, Property and Casualty Insurance, Asset Management, and Other Business segments. The company offers life, health, automobile, liability, agricultural, property and casualty, commercial property, and accident insurance products; pension and annuity insurance products; investments with insurance funds, etc.; and reinsurance products. It also provides real estate and property management, consulting, medical and health consulting, insurance agency, fund management, seniors and disabled care, elderly, nursing, real estate development and operation, technical and seniors care consulting, technical, cloud computing, bid data, business, hospital management, and medical services; and senior living property investment, construction, and management services. In addition, the company offers investment management, pension fund and insurance asset management, private equity investment fund management, and non-residential real estate leasing services. China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Pacific Insurance reported revenue of HK$376B in FY2025 versus HK$436B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$52.1B in FY2025, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 2601: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥37.33 | ¥49.98 | +34% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥52.60 | ¥84.72 | +61% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 | HK$343.40 | HK$143.17 | -58% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹412.15 | ₹392.93 | -5% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 302,500 KRW | 191,293 KRW | -37% |
| Prudential plc PUKN | 545.00 MXN | 499.36 MXN | -8% |
| New China Life Insurance Company 601336 | ¥58.83 | ¥99.92 | +70% |
| SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE | ₹1,830 | ₹293.11 | -84% |
| Cathay Financial Holding 2882B | 59.00 TWD | 107.71 TWD | +83% |
| KGI Financial Holding 2883 | 31.50 TWD | 24.33 TWD | -23% |
Compare China Pacific Insurance with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is China Pacific Insurance (2601) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 2601?
What is the quality score of 2601?
What is the revenue of China Pacific Insurance (2601)?
What is the net profit margin of 2601?
Does China Pacific Insurance pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track China Pacific Insurance and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.