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QingSong Health Corp (2661) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$2.0B

QH QingSong Health Corp 2661 · HK
PriceHK$5.54
Fair ValueHK$7.97
Upside+44.0%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -30.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$6.17 – HK$9.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −21.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 44% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$6.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

HK$160.90 HK$5.54 Fair Value HK$7.97 Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range HK$5.54 – HK$160.90 · fair‑value band HK$6.17 – HK$9.78 · the HK$5.54 price screens below the HK$7.97 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

QingSong Health Corp (2661) currently trades at HK$5.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.97, implying the stock looks roughly 44.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, QingSong Health Corp generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of -30.2%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$6.17 (bear case) to HK$9.78 (bull case); at HK$5.54, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -64% fair-value upside, at 44%, 2661 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$6.76 HK$10.46 HK$16.27 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.55 HK$10.21 HK$17.88 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.45 HK$3.29 HK$4.90 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$7.10 HK$9.59 HK$17.04 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$6.10 HK$9.14 HK$15.48 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$6.32 HK$11.32 HK$14.35 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$5.30 HK$6.86 HK$8.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.45 HK$3.29 HK$4.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.76 HK$10.46 HK$16.27 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.55 HK$10.21 HK$17.88 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$10.21) versus Asset-Based (HK$3.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net margin -30.2%
Free cash flow HK$81.4M FY2025
Operating margin 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

QingSong Health Corporation provides healthcare-related and insurance-related services in China. The company offers digital marketing through healthcare-related educational articles and videos; digital medical research assistance; integrated health service packages with various self-operated and outsourced services; and promotion and consultancy to support …

Full company description

QingSong Health Corporation provides healthcare-related and insurance-related services in China. The company offers digital marketing through healthcare-related educational articles and videos; digital medical research assistance; integrated health service packages with various self-operated and outsourced services; and promotion and consultancy to support early disease screening. It also provides Insurance Brokerage services; and a suite of technical services including smart operations, smart risk control, and smart monitoring through i-Phoenix enterprise service platform. The company was formerly known as QingSongChou Corporation and changed its name to QingSong Health Corporation in September 2020. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, The People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

QingSong Health Corp reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$394M in FY2022, a compound +47.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$380M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.3B
Latest YoY
+32.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.2%
Revenue +47.2%/yr
FY22 HK$394M
FY23 HK$490M
FY24 HK$945M
FY25 HK$1.3B
Net income
FY22 −HK$2.1M
FY23 HK$73.6M
FY24 HK$10.4M
FY25 −HK$380M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "QingSong Health Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2661

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 125 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 92 · sector 0
FUTURE 9 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $241.51 $91.49 -62%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$183.71 A$23.74 -87%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $59.68 $21.31 -64%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $105.50 $56.63 -46%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $86.32 $24.03 -72%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $58.48 $17.18 -71%
Waystar Holding WAY $24.54 $12.86 -48%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.19 HK$1.04 -87%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $24.99 $25.91 +4%
Privia Health Group PRVA $21.54 $5.26 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is QingSong Health Corp (2661) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.97 versus a price of HK$5.54, about +44% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2661?
Our model-based fair value for QingSong Health Corp is HK$7.97 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.54.
What is the quality score of 2661?
QingSong Health Corp has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of QingSong Health Corp (2661)?
QingSong Health Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2661?
The net profit margin of QingSong Health Corp is about -30.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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