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Yuanda China Holdings Ltd (2789) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$906M

YC Yuanda China Holdings Ltd 2789 · HK
PriceHK$0.2210
Fair ValueHK$0.0905
Upside-59.1%
Quality75/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0699 – HK$0.1185 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0907 to HK$0.0905 (−0.2%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +30.8% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1185). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2280 HK$0.0123 Fair Value HK$0.0905 Oct 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0123 – HK$0.2280 · fair‑value band HK$0.0699 – HK$0.1185 · the HK$0.2210 price screens above the HK$0.0905 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yuanda China Holdings Ltd (2789) currently trades at HK$0.2210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0905, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yuanda China Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 37.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 59.0%. Net debt stands at HK$228M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0699 (bear case) to HK$0.1185 (bull case); at HK$0.2210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 253% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -59%, 2789 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.7200 HK$0.8800 HK$1.12 80
Residual Income HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$2.38 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6900 HK$0.9300 HK$1.24 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.7000 HK$0.8700 HK$1.15 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.6700 HK$0.8300 HK$1.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6900 HK$0.9200 HK$1.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.7600 HK$1.04 HK$1.42 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.8200 HK$1.15 HK$1.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6800 HK$0.8400 HK$1.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.7300 HK$0.9100 HK$1.10 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.7700 HK$0.9700 HK$1.17 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3900 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5300 54
EPV HK$0.6500 HK$0.7200 HK$0.7800 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2800 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2800 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.8900 HK$1.19 HK$1.49 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.6800 HK$0.9100 HK$1.13 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3800 HK$0.5100 HK$0.6300 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.04 HK$1.34 HK$1.63 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.9200 HK$1.17 HK$1.43 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.7300 HK$0.9700 HK$1.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7200 HK$0.8800 HK$1.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6900 HK$0.9300 HK$1.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$2.38 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6500 HK$0.7200 HK$0.7800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.6300 HK$0.9000 HK$1.17 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.9700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.7%
Net margin 12.5%
Return on equity 59.0%
Free cash flow HK$418M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 20.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +2,983%
Net debt HK$228M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yuanda China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, procurement, production, assembling, sale, and installation of curtain wall systems in Mainland China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Dubai, Cambodia, Saudi, Australia, and internationally. It offers extrusions aluminum, glass, steel, and sealant.

Full company description

Yuanda China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, procurement, production, assembling, sale, and installation of curtain wall systems in Mainland China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Dubai, Cambodia, Saudi, Australia, and internationally. It offers extrusions aluminum, glass, steel, and sealant. Yuanda China Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yuanda China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$3.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$353M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.8B
Latest YoY
+27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 HK$3.1B
FY22 HK$3.3B
FY23 HK$2.6B
FY24 HK$2.2B
FY25 HK$2.8B
Net income
FY21 −HK$996M
FY22 HK$72.1M
FY23 HK$25.3M
FY24 −HK$354M
FY25 HK$353M

2789 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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HK$0.0905 −59%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuanda China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2789

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 38% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 24.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yuanda China Holdings Ltd (2789) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0905 versus a price of HK$0.2210, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2789?
Our model-based fair value for Yuanda China Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0905 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2210.
What is the quality score of 2789?
Yuanda China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yuanda China Holdings Ltd (2789)?
Yuanda China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2789?
The net profit margin of Yuanda China Holdings Ltd is about 12.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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