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Taichung Commercial Bank Co (2812) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TW · Market cap 124B TWD

TC Taichung Commercial Bank Co 2812 · TW
Price18.65 TWD
Fair Value19.55 TWD
Upside+4.8%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 45.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.93% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 14.67 TWD – 24.44 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −9.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

23.85 TWD 10.46 TWD Fair Value 19.55 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.46 TWD – 23.85 TWD · fair‑value band 14.67 TWD – 24.44 TWD · the 18.65 TWD price screens below the 19.55 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Taichung Commercial Bank Co (2812) currently trades at 18.65 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.55 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Taichung Commercial Bank Co generated revenue of 20.4B TWD at a net margin of 45.7%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at 5.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.67 TWD (bear case) to 24.44 TWD (bull case); at 18.65 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2812 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.33 TWD 14.81 TWD 23.33 TWD 76
Gordon GGM 3.28 TWD 5.20 TWD 7.33 TWD 70
P/E Multiple 14.67 TWD 19.55 TWD 24.44 TWD 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.28 TWD 5.20 TWD 7.33 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.28 TWD 4.75 TWD 6.41 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14.67 TWD 19.55 TWD 24.44 TWD 63
P/B Multiple 16.00 TWD 21.33 TWD 26.66 TWD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.62 TWD 10.21 TWD 15.24 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.33 TWD 14.81 TWD 23.33 TWD 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (19.55 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.75 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 20.4B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 45.7%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow 12.7B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 55.7%
EPS (TTM) 1.53 TWD
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net debt 5.5B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 16
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and America.

Full company description

Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and America. The company offers various deposit products, such as savings accounts and time deposit accounts, as well as ATM card services; and foreign currency services, including foreign currency demand deposits, cash, travel checks, and remittances. It also provides corporate finance services comprising corporate loans; trade services, such as letter of credit, collections, factoring, and forfaiting; corporate cash flow services, including account information, deposits, payments, and accounts receivable financing; and financial hedging services, such as hedging strategies, financial instruments, and consultation services. In addition, the company offers personal mortgage loans comprising house mortgage and renovations, children's education funds, business start-up capital, investments, and financial management services; wealth management services, including financial advice and asset allocation, customized consultation services, family and retirement needs, and trust planning services; credit cards; and digital banking services, such as online and mobile banking, and mobile payment services. Further, it engages in insurance brokerage, securities, financial leasing and investment, and venture capital businesses. The company was formerly known as Taichung Small and Medium Business Bank Company Limited and changed its name to Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. in December 1998. Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Taichung Commercial Bank Co reported revenue of 10.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 16.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.9B TWD
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+7.2%
Revenue −10.2%/yr
FY21 16.7B TWD
FY22 19.8B TWD
FY23 27.4B TWD
FY24 32.3B TWD
FY25 10.9B TWD
Net income +17.2%/yr
FY21 4.8B TWD
FY22 5.3B TWD
FY23 6.8B TWD
FY24 8.3B TWD
FY25 9.1B TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taichung Commercial Bank Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2812

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 39
FUTURE 38 · sector 44
PAST 42 · sector 41
HEALTH 92 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taichung Commercial Bank Co (2812) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.55 TWD versus a price of 18.65 TWD, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2812?
Our model-based fair value for Taichung Commercial Bank Co is 19.55 TWD (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 18.65 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2812?
Taichung Commercial Bank Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taichung Commercial Bank Co (2812)?
Taichung Commercial Bank Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2812?
The net profit margin of Taichung Commercial Bank Co is about 45.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Taichung Commercial Bank Co pay a dividend?
Taichung Commercial Bank Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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