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Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.37, price HK$0.79, upside -52.9%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG395761060

GF Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd

2863 · HK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value HK$0.3700 · Strongly overvalued (−52.9%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.9700 HK$0.1859 Fair Value HK$0.3700 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1859 – HK$0.9700 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.4900 · the HK$0.7850 price screens above the HK$0.3700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of electrical and mechanical engineering services in Hong Kong. It offers engineering services, including electrical and extra-low voltage (ELV) system work and ventilation, and air-conditioning system works.

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Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of electrical and mechanical engineering services in Hong Kong. It offers engineering services, including electrical and extra-low voltage (ELV) system work and ventilation, and air-conditioning system works. The company undertakes projects in public sectors, which comprise hospital-related public projects, government office complex, and departmental headquarter. Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863) currently trades at HK$0.7850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3700, 52.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3200 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.7850 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2300, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2100 (bear) to HK$0.4900 (bull), the price of HK$0.7850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$467M in FY2025 versus HK$255M in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$17.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$532M (≈ $67.7M) · P/S ratio 1.34 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin −3.8% · Return on equity −10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin 0.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −53%, 2863 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2100 Fair Value HK$0.3700 Bull HK$0.4900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.2000 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4400 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2000 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3600 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 53
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2000 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4400 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2000 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3600 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3500 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2020) → −4.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2863 screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −23.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)74 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $649.13 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.30 €186.22 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.3700 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2863

Frequently asked questions

Is Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3700 versus a price of HK$0.7850, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2863?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7850.
What is the quality score of 2863?
Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3700, about −53% upside versus a price of HK$0.7850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$404M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.7850. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2863 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.7850, fair value HK$0.3700, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2863?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.7850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3700). For Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.4150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$532M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.7850; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2863?
Our models span a range for Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2100, base HK$0.3700, optimistic HK$0.4900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.7850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2863 from its 52-week high?
Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.7850, about 19% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9700 and 157% above the low of HK$0.3050 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.7850, calculated fair value HK$0.3700 (−53%), Quality Score 51/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2863 calculated?
We run Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.7850. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3700, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2100 to HK$0.4900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The market capitalisation of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is HK$532M (≈ $67.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is 1.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Earnings per share at Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The dividend yield of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is 3.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The net margin of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is −3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is −10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
The operating margin of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Revenue at Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is growing −23.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863)?
Earnings per share at Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863) generate?
The free cash flow of Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$32.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd (2863) hold?
Golden Faith Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$67.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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