Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd HK$9.92, price HK$9.49, upside +4.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range HK$3.34 – HK$12.70 · fair‑value band HK$9.37 – HK$10.79 · the HK$9.49 price screens below the HK$9.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Wuhan Youji Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells toluene derivative products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, the United States, European Union, and internationally.
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Wuhan Youji Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells toluene derivative products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, the United States, European Union, and internationally. The company offers toluene oxidation, toluene chlorination, benzoic acid ammonification, and other fine chemical products; and trades in toluene raw materials. Its products are used in the food preservatives, household chemicals, animal feed acidifiers, and synthetic intermediates for agrochemical and pharmaceutical applications. Wuhan Youji Holdings Limited was formerly known as Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Wuhan, the People's Republic of China. Wuhan Youji Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Vastocean Capital Limited.
Stock analysis
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881) currently trades at HK$9.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.92, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$10.18 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$9.49 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$5.81, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$9.37 (bear) to HK$10.79 (bull), the price of HK$9.49 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 62.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $139M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.35 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2881 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$9.37Fair Value HK$9.92Bull HK$10.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
’19
’20
’21
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 2%
Compare Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 354 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+4.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.2% · Above median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.92 versus a price of HK$9.49, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2881?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is HK$9.92 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.49.
What is the quality score of 2881?
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$9.92 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.37, optimistic scenario HK$10.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$9.92, about +5% upside versus a price of HK$9.49 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$9.37, optimistic scenario HK$10.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd it is HK$9.92 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$9.49. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2881 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$9.49, fair value HK$9.92, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2881?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$9.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$9.92). For Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.4290 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$9.49; our models calculate a fair value of HK$9.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2881?
Our models span a range for Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$9.37, base HK$9.92, optimistic HK$10.79 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$9.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2881?
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$9.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2881 from its 52-week high?
Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd trades at HK$9.49, about 25% below its 52-week high of HK$12.70 and 105% above the low of HK$4.63 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$9.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$9.49, calculated fair value HK$9.92 (+5%), Quality Score 31/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2881 calculated?
We run Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$9.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$9.49. Our model-based fair value is HK$9.92, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $139M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The dividend yield of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 3.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The net margin of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
The operating margin of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Revenue at Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is growing −25.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd are growing −68.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is −295M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd (2881) carry?
The net debt of Wuhan Youji Holdings Ltd is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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