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Tilray Brands, Inc (2HQ0) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · DE · Market cap €472M

TB Tilray Brands, Inc 2HQ0 · XETRA
Price€3.97
Fair Value€11.91
Upside+200.0%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -156.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range €8.93 – €15.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: May 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 70 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€8.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

€30.12 €3.17 Fair Value €11.91 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of May 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range €3.17 – €30.12 · fair‑value band €8.93 – €15.41 · the €3.97 price screens below the €11.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of May 31, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tilray Brands, Inc (2HQ0) currently trades at €3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.91, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €858M. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.2%. Net debt stands at €107M. Fundamentals as of May 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.93 (bear case) to €15.41 (bull case); at €3.97, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 200%, 2HQ0 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) €6.26 €8.38 €12.51 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.26 €8.38 €12.51 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €858M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.8%
Net margin -157%
Return on equity -63.2%
Free cash flow −€128M FY2025
Operating margin -52.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-12.56
Net debt €107M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of May 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tilray Brands, Inc., a lifestyle consumer products company, engages in the research, cultivation, processing, and distribution of medical cannabis products in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Beverage, Cannabis, Distribution, and Wellness.

Full company description

Tilray Brands, Inc., a lifestyle consumer products company, engages in the research, cultivation, processing, and distribution of medical cannabis products in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Beverage, Cannabis, Distribution, and Wellness. It also offers medical and adult-use cannabis products; resells and distributes pharmaceutical and wellness products; and produces, markets, and sells beverage products, and hemp-based food products. In addition, the company provides entertainment products. It offers its products under the Tilray, Aphria, Broken Coast, Symbios, Navcora, Tilray Craft, Charlotte's Web, Montauk Brewing, Shock Top, 10 Barrell, Breckenridge Brewery, SweetWater Brewing, Breckenridge Distillery, Blue Point Brewing, Broken Coast, Redecan, XMG, Manitoba Harvest, CC Pharma, Good Supply, Solei, Mollo, Chowie Wowie, Original Stash, Canaca, RIFF, Tilray Medical, Bake Sale, The Batch, HEXO, Alpine Beer Company, Green Flash, Cruisies, Atwater Brewery, Hiball Energy, Liquid Love, Hop Valley Brewing, Redhook Brewery, Revolver Brewing, Square Mile Cider, Mock One, Widmer Brothers Brewing, Runner's High Brewing Company, SweetWater Brewing Company, Terrapin Beer Co., Happy Flower, Fizzy Jane's, Herb & Bloom, 420 Fizz, and Fresh Hemp Foods brands. The company sells its products to retailers, wholesalers, patients, physicians, hospitals, pharmacies, researchers, and governments, as well as direct to consumers. The company was formerly known as Tilray, Inc. and changed its name to Tilray Brands, Inc. in January 2022. Tilray Brands, Inc. is headquartered in Leamington, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tilray Brands, Inc reported revenue of €821M in FY2025 versus €628M in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€821M
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.3%
Revenue +9.3%/yr
FY22 €628M
FY23 €627M
FY24 €789M
FY25 €821M
Net income
FY22 −€477M
FY23 −€1.5B
FY24 −€245M
FY25 −€2.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tilray Brands, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2HQ0

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -157% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -53% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 31.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of May 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tilray Brands, Inc (2HQ0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of May 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.91 versus a price of €3.97, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2HQ0?
Our model-based fair value for Tilray Brands, Inc is €11.91 (as of May 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.97.
What is the quality score of 2HQ0?
Tilray Brands, Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tilray Brands, Inc (2HQ0)?
Tilray Brands, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €858M (latest available figure, as of May 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2HQ0?
The net profit margin of Tilray Brands, Inc is about -156.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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