Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co (300006) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥1.13 to ¥0.7600 (−32.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.20 – ¥11.34 · fair‑value band ¥0.6800 – ¥0.8500 · the ¥5.11 price screens above the ¥0.7600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co (300006) currently trades at ¥5.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7600, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 760M CNY at a net margin of -17.9%. Revenue declined 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 503M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6800 (bear case) to ¥0.8500 (bull case); at ¥5.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -85%, 300006 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.11) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products in China.
Full company description
Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products in China. It provides anti-tumor, anti-inflammatory, antibacterial, digestive, anti-virus, blood system, cardiovascular system, acid-base balance nutritional medicine, endocrine system drugs, tumor adjuvant medication, antifungal, and opioid receptor antagonists. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥769M in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥135M in FY2025.
300006 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,182 | $396.77 | -66% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $257.59 | $169.04 | -34% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $254.49 | $67.72 | -73% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €392.80 | €226.68 | -42% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €108.08 | €121.54 | +12% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,742 MXN | 2,379 MXN | -13% |
| AstraZeneca PLC AZN | $171.61 | $129.54 | -25% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 329.90 | kr 409.46 | +24% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $363.39 | $252.02 | -31% |
| Sanofi SNYN | 770.00 MXN | 1,251 MXN | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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