Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings (300226) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 6.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥11.68 to ¥10.60 (−9.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.35 – ¥36.72 · fair‑value band ¥7.64 – ¥13.56 · the ¥16.76 price screens above the ¥10.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings (300226) currently trades at ¥16.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.60, implying the stock looks roughly 36.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings generated revenue of 73.9B CNY at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at 470M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.64 (bear case) to ¥13.56 (bull case); at ¥16.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -37%, 300226 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥80.19) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings Co., Ltd. provides data services for commodities and related industries in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings Co., Ltd. provides data services for commodities and related industries in the People's Republic of China. The company offers big data and data processing, industrial internet data, software development and sale, enterprise management consulting, conference and exhibition, advertising design, and agency and publication services. It also offers consignment transaction and supply chain services; and steel products and related services. It operates banksteel.com, a steel and silver steel spot online trading platform; and Gangyin e-commerce that provides a package of e-commerce solutions for upstream and downstream users in the steel industry. In addition, the company's services cover various industries, such as ferrous and nonferrous metals, energy, chemical, building materials, agricultural products, extends to new energy, new materials, renewable resources, and other commodity fields. Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings reported revenue of ¥70.7B in FY2025 versus ¥65.8B in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥213M in FY2025, compounding +4.6%/yr from FY2021.
300226 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $113.30 | $451.51 | +299% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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