Kaiyuan Education Technology Group (300338) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 1.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.06 – ¥8.18 · fair‑value band ¥0.6300 – ¥1.06 · the ¥2.84 price screens above the ¥0.8400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Kaiyuan Education Technology Group (300338) currently trades at ¥2.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 70.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 129M CNY. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -61.8%. Net debt stands at 43.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6300 (bear case) to ¥1.06 (bull case); at ¥2.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -70%, 300338 screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kaiyuan Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the vocational education business in the People's Republic of China. The company provides education and training related services, such as improvement in the quality and technical skills of workers to adapt to the latest standards and requirements of various industries.
Full company description
Kaiyuan Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in the vocational education business in the People's Republic of China. The company provides education and training related services, such as improvement in the quality and technical skills of workers to adapt to the latest standards and requirements of various industries. It also engages in providing academic qualifications intermediary services; exploration and development of internet education; launching an industrial internet platform; and AI intelligent adaptive learning platform. It provides its services to learners at multiple levels, including employed persons, job seekers, college students, and vocational colleges. The company formerly known as Changsha Kaiyuan Instrument Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kaiyuan Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. Kaiyuan Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Changsha, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kaiyuan Education Technology Group reported revenue of ¥136M in FY2025 versus ¥931M in FY2021, a compound −38.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥138M in FY2025.
300338 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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