Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.63 – ¥40.10 · fair‑value band ¥2.55 – ¥5.83 · the ¥17.03 price screens above the ¥3.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Beijing Aerospace Shenzhou Intelligent Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the railway vehicle operation safety detection and maintenance systems, intelligent testing and simulation systems and microsystems and control components, and automation equipment for the nuclear industry and special environments in China.
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Beijing Aerospace Shenzhou Intelligent Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the railway vehicle operation safety detection and maintenance systems, intelligent testing and simulation systems and microsystems and control components, and automation equipment for the nuclear industry and special environments in China. The company offers trace hotbox detection system for railway vehicles, train running fault image detection system, and trackside acoustic diagnosis system for railway vehicle rolling bearing early fault; and portable integrated automatic control test platform, automatic testing equipment for components and spacecraft subsystem, programmable signal processing module, low-cost universal on-board computer module, low-cost universal on-board computer module, aerospace radiation-resistant high-performance quad-core microprocessor, and space environment simulation equipment. It also provides power manipulator, automation platform, glovebox manipulator, and glovebox automation platform. The company was formerly known as Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corporation Limited and changed its name to Beijing Aerospace Shenzhou Intelligent Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. in May 2023. Beijing Aerospace Shenzhou Intelligent Equipment Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) currently trades at ¥17.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.89, implying the stock looks roughly 337.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥3.81 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥17.03 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.4000, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.55 (bear) to ¥5.83 (bull), the price of ¥17.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −180M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 16.4B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · P/S ratio 15.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −16.1% · Return on equity −10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −77%, 300455 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4000 to ¥4.70). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.55Fair Value ¥3.89Bull ¥5.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.8% (2020) → −9.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 164 stocks
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Is Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.89 versus a price of ¥17.03, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300455?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is ¥3.89 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.03.
What is the quality score of 300455?
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.89 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.55, optimistic scenario ¥5.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.89, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥17.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.55, optimistic scenario ¥5.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +35.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.4 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300455 use?
Our models discount Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.37, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd that is +35.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd grew -0.4 % a year. The price currently implies +35.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (+35.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.19 %: that much free cash flow Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd it is ¥3.89 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥17.03. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 300455 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.03, fair value ¥3.89, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300455?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.89). For Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd the two are ¥13.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd at about 16.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300455?
Our models span a range for Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.55, base ¥3.89, optimistic ¥5.83 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥17.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −10.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300455 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd trades at ¥17.03, about 59% below its 52-week high of ¥41.50 and 33% above the low of ¥12.83 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥17.03, calculated fair value ¥3.89 (−77%), Quality Score 55/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300455 calculated?
We run Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥2.55 to ¥5.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) come from?
Earnings per share at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd grew −2.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.0 %, EBIT margin −11.1 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 16.4B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 15.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd are ¥−0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The dividend yield of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The net margin of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is −16.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is −10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
The operating margin of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Revenue at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is growing −11.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd are growing −43.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd (300455) carry?
The net debt of Beijing Ctrowell Technology Corp Ltd is 33.7M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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