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Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd ¥4.51, price ¥23.08, upside -80.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 28, 2026
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd
300572 · SHEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ¥4.51 · Strongly overvalued (−80.5%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -41.0% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.58 – ¥36.99 · fair‑value band ¥4.19 – ¥5.03 · the ¥23.08 price screens above the ¥4.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Company profile
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co., Ltd. provides motor vehicle inspection solutions in China. The company offers motor vehicle inspection systems, inspection industry (networking) supervision systems, and motor vehicle inspection services.
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Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co., Ltd. provides motor vehicle inspection solutions in China. The company offers motor vehicle inspection systems, inspection industry (networking) supervision systems, and motor vehicle inspection services. It also provides tester products, including roller and plate brake testers, suspension testers, car and truck side slip testers, speedometer testers, emission testers, and headlight testers. In addition, the company offers chassis dynamometers, PN counters, tire tread depth measuring devices, play detectors, and motorcycle test lane products. Further, it provides technical solutions, including electric vehicle test system, vehicle inspection industry supervision platform, vehicle end-of-line test system, and driving test system. Additionally, the company offers vehicle remote sensing test system, new energy vehicle test system, electric vehicle safety inspections, used car assessment system, and a 3-ton side slip tester. Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) currently trades at ¥23.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.51, 80.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥4.72 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥23.08 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥4.55, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.19 (bear) to ¥5.03 (bull), the price of ¥23.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd reported revenue of 439M CNY in FY2025 versus 473M CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −178M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.5B CNY (≈ $966M) · P/S ratio 14.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.8900 · Net margin −40.6% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin −9.6% · Revenue (TTM) 437M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300572 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.19
Fair Value ¥4.51
Bull ¥5.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
¥4.20
¥4.55
¥5.12
80
Growth DCF
¥4.23
¥4.56
¥5.07
77
5Y Revenue Exit
¥4.11
¥4.59
¥5.26
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
¥4.20
¥4.55
¥5.12
80
5Y Revenue Exit
¥4.11
¥4.59
¥5.26
71
10Y Revenue Exit
¥4.11
¥4.51
¥4.97
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
¥4.13
¥4.64
¥5.15
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
¥3.52
¥4.72
¥7.05
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
¥4.23
¥4.56
¥5.07
77
Rev-Margin DCF
¥4.11
¥4.61
¥5.23
71
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Profitability
3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
38
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.4% (2020) → −16.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.3% a year for the price.
300572 screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Compare Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $362.15 | $116.07 | −68% |
| Coherent Corp COHR | $292.21 | $98.35 | −66% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $294.14 | $304.44 | +4% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 2,295 TWD | 614.66 TWD | −73% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $605.59 | $666.15 | +10% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥72.18 | ¥19.61 | −73% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $260.82 | $199.90 | −23% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $56.09 | $35.20 | −37% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $57.85 | $29.24 | −49% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $58.75 | $38.10 | −35% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.51 versus a price of ¥23.08, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300572?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is ¥4.51 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥23.08.
What is the quality score of 300572?
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.51 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.19, optimistic scenario ¥5.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.51, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥23.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.19, optimistic scenario ¥5.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 437M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +52.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -13.7 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300572 use?
Our models discount Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd that is +52.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd grew -13.7 % a year. The price currently implies +52.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (+52.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.57 %: that much free cash flow Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd it is ¥4.51 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of ¥23.08. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 300572 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥23.08, fair value ¥4.51, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300572?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥23.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.51). For Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd the two are ¥18.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd at about 6.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥23.08; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300572?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.19, base ¥4.51, optimistic ¥5.03 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price ¥23.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300572 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd trades at ¥23.08, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥35.79 and 38% above the low of ¥16.68 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Coherent Corp, Garmin Ltd, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price ¥23.08, calculated fair value ¥4.51 (−80%), Quality Score 48/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300572 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥23.08. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.51, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is 6.5B CNY (≈ $966M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is 14.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd are ¥−0.8900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is −40.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd are growing −96.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd (300572) hold?
Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 778M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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