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Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co (300705) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY

HJ Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co 300705 · SHE
Price¥11.35
Fair Value¥19.74
Upside+73.9%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.82% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥14.79 – ¥25.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥14.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.17 ¥8.86 Fair Value ¥19.74 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.86 – ¥26.17 · fair‑value band ¥14.79 – ¥25.73 · the ¥11.35 price screens below the ¥19.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co (300705) currently trades at ¥11.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.74, implying the stock looks roughly 73.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 3.0B CNY at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue declined 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at 29.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥14.79 (bear case) to ¥25.73 (bull case); at ¥11.35, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 74%, 300705 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.00 ¥7.95 ¥26.43 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.76 ¥17.22 ¥22.92 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.07 ¥27.24 ¥35.41 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.43 ¥44.82 ¥62.90 54
Lynch FV ¥13.85 ¥19.79 ¥25.73 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.85 ¥19.79 ¥25.73 46
EPV ¥9.48 ¥10.98 ¥12.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.59 ¥20.79 ¥25.99 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.05 ¥16.07 ¥20.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.05 ¥16.07 ¥20.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥14.83 ¥19.78 ¥24.74 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.81 ¥19.76 ¥24.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥10.57 ¥15.12 ¥19.67 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.66 ¥3.56 ¥5.31 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.00 ¥7.95 ¥26.43 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.76 ¥17.22 ¥22.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.07 ¥27.24 ¥35.41 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥27.24) versus Asset-Based (¥3.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.5%
Net margin 13.4%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow −5.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 12.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8100
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -56.0%
Net debt 29.0M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 1
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells pharmaceutical products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. Its products portfolio includes Pantoprazole Sodium Enteric-coated, Ferrous Succinate, Rosuvastatin Calcium, Ebastine, and Rabeprazole Sodium Enteric-coated Tablets; and Acetylcysteine Granules, Potassium Sodium Hydrogen Citrate Granules, Loxoprofen Sodium Gel Patch, and Ketoprofen gel patch. The company also offers drugs for analgesic, cardio-cerebrovascular, anti-infection, digestive and urinary system, and breathing and anti-allergy. In addition, it provides CMO/CDMO services. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥3.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥473M in FY2025, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+23.7%
Revenue +17.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥2.7B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥3.1B
Net income +23.3%/yr
FY21 ¥204M
FY22 ¥270M
FY23 ¥368M
FY24 ¥512M
FY25 ¥473M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300705

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +74% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.71× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 58 · sector 23
HEALTH 91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 76 · sector 34

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co (300705) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.74 versus a price of ¥11.35, about +74% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300705?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co is ¥19.74 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.35.
What is the quality score of 300705?
Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co (300705)?
Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300705?
The net profit margin of Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.82% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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