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Al Kathiri Holding (3008) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 305M SAR

AK Al Kathiri Holding 3008 · SR
Price1.34 SAR
Fair Value0.5360 SAR
Upside-60.0%
Quality29/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -19.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range 0.4084 SAR – 0.7912 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.8% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7912 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.4084 SAR to 0.7912 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

2.21 SAR 1.34 SAR Fair Value 0.5360 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 1.34 SAR – 2.21 SAR · fair‑value band 0.4084 SAR – 0.7912 SAR · the 1.34 SAR price screens above the 0.5360 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Al Kathiri Holding (3008) currently trades at 1.34 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5360 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Al Kathiri Holding generated revenue of 250M SAR at a net margin of -19.8%. Revenue declined 45.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -60.9%. Net debt stands at 127M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4084 SAR (bear case) to 0.7912 SAR (bull case); at 1.34 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -60%, 3008 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 250M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -45.9%
Net margin -19.8%
Return on equity -60.9%
Free cash flow −8.3M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -39.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.2200 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +50.6%
Net debt 127M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100
Profitability 14
Quality Growth 40
Cashflow 7
Fin. Strength 11
Investment 72
Low Volatility 88
Momentum 6
52W Momentum 1
Net Issuance 79

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Al Kathiri Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and supply of ready-mix concrete products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Full company description

Al Kathiri Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and supply of ready-mix concrete products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers hollow cement blocks and bricks; ready-mix and dry-mix multipurpose concrete; concrete additives and plasticizers; concrete and cement window frames; asbestos cement and cellulose fiber cement; and building materials produced from plant-based materials bonded with cement. The company is also involved in contracting and construction works; trading and sale of cement, concrete, and sand; manufacture of insulating and electric lamp glass products; dealing in securities; real estate activities in owned and leased properties; and hotel and hospitality projects. In addition, it designs and manufactures boats and vessels, such as passenger and cargo vessels, oil tankers, recreational boats, and fishing boats, as well as floating marine structures. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Al Kathiri Holding reported revenue of 274M SAR in FY2025 versus 129M SAR in FY2021, a compound +20.8%/yr. Reported net income was −40.8M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue +20.8%/yr
FY21 129M SAR
FY22 129M SAR
FY23 129M SAR
FY24 184M SAR
FY25 274M SAR
Net income
FY21 8.6M SAR
FY22 1.7M SAR
FY23 −4.1M SAR
FY24 −19.0M SAR
FY25 −40.8M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Kathiri Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3008.SR

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 29
FUTURE 0 / 4
PAST 0 / 15
HEALTH 29 / 92
DIVIDEND 0 / 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $99.98 $57.88 -42%
Holcim AG HCMLY $19.20 $8.68 -55%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹10,912 ₹4,589 -58%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥58.38 ¥15.13 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,071 ₹1,587 -48%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.03 MXN 17.45 MXN -17%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.86 ¥38.10 +113%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹436.45 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹24,085 ₹8,445 -65%
TCC Group 1101B 45.30 TWD 10.48 TWD -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Al Kathiri Holding (3008) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5360 SAR versus a price of 1.34 SAR, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3008?
Our model-based fair value for Al Kathiri Holding is 0.5360 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.34 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3008?
Al Kathiri Holding has a Quality Score of 29/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Al Kathiri Holding (3008)?
Al Kathiri Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 250M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3008?
The net profit margin of Al Kathiri Holding is about -19.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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