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Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd (300807) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY (≈ $408M) · ISIN CNE100003QZ2

ZT Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd 300807 · SHE
Price¥39.60
Fair Value¥4.71
Upside-88.1%
Quality62/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 741% ABOVE our fair value of ¥4.71
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -24.7% net margin
!Trails peers (3/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.8 %/yr)
Loss-making · -24.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.36 – ¥6.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +13.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 741% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.36 to ¥6.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥67.22 ¥14.33 Fair Value ¥4.71 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.33 – ¥67.22 · fair‑value band ¥3.36 – ¥6.07 · the ¥39.60 price screens above the ¥4.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd (300807) currently trades at ¥39.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.71, implying the stock looks roughly 88.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 145M CNY at a net margin of -24.7%. Revenue declined 49.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.36 (bear case) to ¥6.07 (bull case); at ¥39.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -88%, 300807 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.2500 to ¥5.64). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.57 ¥5.61 ¥7.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.20 ¥5.59 ¥7.35 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3000 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.45 ¥5.52 ¥7.63 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.20 ¥5.51 ¥7.48 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.19 ¥5.32 ¥6.59 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 ¥0.3000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.2800 ¥0.3600 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥4.29 ¥5.64 ¥6.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.36 ¥4.50 ¥6.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.57 ¥5.61 ¥7.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.20 ¥5.59 ¥7.35 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.64) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 19.0 TTM
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.5300
Net margin -17.4% FY2025
Return on equity -7.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -6.2% avg 5y
Operating margin -48.5% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 145M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.7% 3y avg -21.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -64.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 23.6M CNY FY2025
Net cash 13.8M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of solutions for urban public transportation operations, management, and services based on internet of vehicles technology in China.

Full company description

Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of solutions for urban public transportation operations, management, and services based on internet of vehicles technology in China. The company offers intelligent public transportation dispatching, remote monitoring, intelligent public transportation cashier, and charging operation management systems. It also provides bus terminal, bus smart cashier, and active safety products; electronic bus stop boards and road sign products; multimedia release, new energy charging, and taxi management products; products for vehicles engaging in regular-route passenger transport, tourist passenger transport, and hazardous chemicals transport; station management, BRT bus stop, and intelligent cabin products; and other products. In addition, the company offers software solutions, including smart bus, integrated transportation, smart charging, smart taxi, smart sanitation, and other application systems, as well as application systems for regular-rote passenger transport, tourist passenger transport, and hazardous chemicals transport vehicles. Further, it provides integrated big data service platforms; smart bus, charging, taxi, logistics, municipal administration, and cabin solutions; specialty vehicle solutions; and operations and maintenance service solutions. Additionally, the company engages in technology development, transfer, consulting, and promotion; hardware parts maintenance; professional and technical services; rental and operation of small and micro passenger vehicles; repair of instruments and meters; and software and information technology activities, as well as provision of vehicle-mounted communication terminals, mechatronic equipment, communication equipment, and auto parts. It serves public transportation companies, bus manufacturers, and government departments. Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥160M in FY2025 versus ¥233M in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥27.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
160M CNY
Latest YoY
−2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −8.9%/yr
FY21 ¥233M
FY22 ¥329M
FY23 ¥220M
FY24 ¥164M
FY25 ¥160M
Net income
FY21 −¥37.3M
FY22 −¥8.5M
FY23 −¥50.1M
FY24 −¥59.3M
FY25 −¥27.9M

300807 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300807

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 172 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -48% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.89× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.82× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 26
PAST0 · sector 22
HEALTH98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND1 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).

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Chroma ATE Inc 2360 2,195 TWD 322.57 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 99.00 kr 74.09 -25%
MKS Inc MKSI $281.60 $76.00 -73%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥57.89 ¥34.47 -40%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.54 $33.48 -46%
Trimble Inc TRMB $56.99 $34.12 -40%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $61.72 $19.25 -69%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd (300807) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.71 versus a price of ¥39.60, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300807?
Our model-based fair value for Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd is ¥4.71 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥39.60.
What is the quality score of 300807?
Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd (300807)?
Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 145M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300807?
The net profit margin of Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co Ltd is about -24.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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