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Data-driven stock valuation

Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Poco Holding Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · CN · Market cap 24.1B CNY (≈ $3.6B) · ISIN CNE100003R31

At a glance

PH Poco Holding Co Ltd 300811 · SHE
Price¥83.01
Fair Value¥16.37
Upside−80.3%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 407% above our fair value of ¥16.37.

As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Poco Holding Co Ltd is ¥16.37 per share against a price of ¥83.01, so the fair value sits 80% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +29.4 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.17% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 70/100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.21 to ¥22.39

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +17.8% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥11.21 to ¥22.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥107.18 ¥8.86 Fair Value ¥16.37 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.86 – ¥107.18 · fair‑value band ¥11.21 – ¥22.39 · the ¥83.01 price screens above the ¥16.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) currently trades at ¥83.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.37, implying the stock looks roughly 407.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥31.44 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥83.01 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.01, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Poco Holding Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 27.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at 304M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Scenario range: ¥11.21 (bear) to ¥22.39 (bull), the price of ¥83.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 189% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300811 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6426 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥5.01 to ¥48.86). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.34 ¥6.31 ¥12.57 77
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 75
EPV ¥11.39 ¥13.14 ¥14.66 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.34 ¥6.31 ¥12.57 77
Owner Earnings ¥11.85 ¥25.81 ¥55.12 71
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.62 ¥9.64 ¥18.11 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.58 ¥19.68 ¥37.57 71
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.77 ¥27.69 ¥49.81 67
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.13 ¥11.51 ¥15.99 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.96 ¥22.19 ¥46.35 63
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.82 ¥24.75 ¥50.29 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.01 ¥48.86 ¥68.57 63
Lynch FV ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 57
EPV ¥11.39 ¥13.14 ¥14.66 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.00 ¥6.66 ¥8.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.75 ¥18.03 ¥22.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.47 ¥16.33 ¥20.18 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.57 ¥7.57 ¥9.57 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.74 ¥5.01 ¥7.47 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.67 ¥10.89 ¥20.77 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.25 ¥9.19 ¥23.31 68
ROIC Compounder ¥14.57 ¥21.48 ¥26.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.01 ¥31.44 ¥40.87 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥31.44) versus Asset-Based (¥5.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 77.6
P/S ratio 18.0 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.07 price ÷ EPS = P/E 77.6
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 13.4%
Net margin 23.2% FY2025
Return on equity 15.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 22.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.7% 3y avg +19.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 82.7M CNY FY2025
Net debt 304M CNY FY2024 · ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment.

Full company description

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment. Its products are used in photovoltaic power generation, new energy vehicles and charging piles, data centers (UPS, server power supply, GPU chip power supply), AI, intelligent driving, energy storage, communication power supply, variable frequency air conditioner, consumer electronics, power quality control, rail transit, and other areas. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Poco Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 726M CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was 418M CNY in FY2025, compounding +36.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +27.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+27.3%
Dividend yield0.2%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 27.3% vs 10Y 22.2%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25.5% (2020) → 27.5% (2025) · rising
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 57% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +25.5%/yr
FY21 726M CNY
FY22 1.1B CNY
FY23 1.2B CNY
FY24 1.7B CNY
FY25 1.8B CNY
Net income +36.5%/yr
FY21 120M CNY
FY22 193M CNY
FY23 256M CNY
FY24 376M CNY
FY25 418M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2024) +23.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.1 %

of which total revenue +29.6 % · buybacks/dilution −5.8 %

EBIT margin +0.9 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300811 screens 407% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Poco Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300811

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 637 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 12.80× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 20.33× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 69.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 62.6× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Poco Holding Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+43.0 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+29.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.2 %
FCF yield on price0.34 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.8 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST61 · sector 26
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.78 $97.19 +17%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥178.67 ¥21.19 −88%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $312.35 $113.54 −64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.37 versus a price of ¥83.01, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300811?
Our model-based fair value for Poco Holding Co Ltd is ¥16.37 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥83.01.
What is the quality score of 300811?
Poco Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.37 (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.21, optimistic scenario ¥22.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Poco Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.37, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥83.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.21, optimistic scenario ¥22.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
Poco Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300811?
The net profit margin of Poco Holding Co Ltd is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Poco Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Poco Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Poco Holding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +43.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.8 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.4 % per year. As of Aug 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300811 use?
Our models discount Poco Holding Co Ltd at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.71. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Poco Holding Co Ltd it is ¥16.37 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026), against a price of ¥83.01. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Poco Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 27, 2026, 300811 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥83.01, fair value ¥16.37, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300811?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥83.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.37). For Poco Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥66.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Poco Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Poco Holding Co Ltd at about 24.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Aug 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥83.01; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300811?
Our models span a range for Poco Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.21, base ¥16.37, optimistic ¥22.39 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026, price ¥83.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300811?
Poco Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 77.6 (as of Aug 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.8, P/S 20.3, EV/EBITDA 62.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
Balance-sheet figures for Poco Holding Co Ltd (as of Aug 27, 2026): return on equity 15.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300811 from its 52-week high?
Poco Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥83.01, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥101.99 and 189% above the low of ¥28.74 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Poco Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Luxshare Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Poco Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 27, 2026: price ¥83.01, calculated fair value ¥16.37 (−80%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300811 calculated?
We run Poco Holding Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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