AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co (300877) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.58 – ¥50.05 · fair‑value band ¥9.21 – ¥15.35 · the ¥24.87 price screens above the ¥12.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co (300877) currently trades at ¥24.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.28, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 191M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.21 (bear case) to ¥15.35 (bull case); at ¥24.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -51%, 300877 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥14.29) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sell non-woven fabric materials and products, and chemical fibers in China and internationally.

Full company description

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sell non-woven fabric materials and products, and chemical fibers in China and internationally. The company offers spunlace nonwoven fabric materials for use in sanitary, decoration, and industrial materials, as well as civil cleaning, medical, and health; degradable nonwovens for use in civil sanitary and functional wet wipes; hot air nonwovens for use in civil cleaning; filament microfiber nonwovens for civil cleaning, decoration, and industrial materials; meltblown nonwovens for use in sanitary and industrial materials; ES composite staple fibers for use in the production of covering materials for sanitary products; and nonwoven cleaning and hygiene products for civil cleaning, medical, and health care. It also provides sanitary products and disposable medical supplies. In addition, the company engages in the import and export of goods. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Chuzhou Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd. AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co., Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is based in Chuzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AnHui Jinchun Nonwoven Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥889M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥86.7M in FY2025, compounding −0.5%/yr from FY2021.

300877 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.