Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. ¥14.90, price ¥27.86, upside -46.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.78 – ¥50.88 · fair‑value band ¥11.17 – ¥18.62 · the ¥27.86 price screens above the ¥14.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of intelligent controllers and intelligent products in China and internationally.
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Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of intelligent controllers and intelligent products in China and internationally. It offers energy storage products, such as industrial and commercial energy storage, outdoor energy storage, home energy storage, BMS/battery pack, and off-grid energy storage products; automotive electronics, including automotive heat pipe, electric actuators, and electromechanically control module; and consumer products, such as home appliances, personal care, cleaning, outdoor, medical, and robotic products. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916) currently trades at ¥27.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.90, implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥19.30 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥27.86 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.41, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥11.17 (bear) to ¥18.62 (bull), the price of ¥27.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 960M CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 103M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.0B CNY (≈ $602M) · P/E ratio 54.6 · P/S ratio 3.50 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −47%, 300916 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.17Fair Value ¥14.90Bull ¥18.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3731 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 8%
Compare Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−47% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)54.6× · Pricier than median
P/B2.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.58× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA26.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)35· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300916
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.90 versus a price of ¥27.86, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300916?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is ¥14.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥27.86.
What is the quality score of 300916?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.17, optimistic scenario ¥18.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.90, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥27.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.17, optimistic scenario ¥18.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. it is ¥14.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥27.86. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300916 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥27.86, fair value ¥14.90, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300916?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥27.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.90). For Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. the two are ¥12.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥27.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300916?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.17, base ¥14.90, optimistic ¥18.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥27.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300916?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 26.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300916 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. trades at ¥27.86, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥43.20 and 54% above the low of ¥18.12 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥27.86, calculated fair value ¥14.90 (−47%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300916 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥27.86. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.90, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 4.0B CNY (≈ $602M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 3.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. are ¥0.5100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 1.8% (payout 96.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is growing −10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. are growing −95.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. is −32.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. (300916) hold?
Shenzhen Longtech Smart Control Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 672M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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