NOVA Technology Corporation Limited (300921) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +14.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.28 – ¥24.13 · fair‑value band ¥1.59 – ¥2.26 · the ¥15.24 price screens above the ¥1.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
NOVA Technology Corporation Limited (300921) currently trades at ¥15.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 88.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, NOVA Technology Corporation Limited generated revenue of 560M CNY at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 127.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.59 (bear case) to ¥2.26 (bull case); at ¥15.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at -88%, 300921 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.24) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NOVA Technology Corporation Limited provides network and security solutions in China and internationally. The company provides cybersecurity, networking, computing, and digital engineering services for the retail, healthcare, automobile, financial services, and manufacturing industries.
Full company description
NOVA Technology Corporation Limited provides network and security solutions in China and internationally. The company provides cybersecurity, networking, computing, and digital engineering services for the retail, healthcare, automobile, financial services, and manufacturing industries. NOVA Technology Corporation Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NOVA Technology Corporation Limited reported revenue of ¥553M in FY2025 versus ¥577M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥21.1M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.
300921 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 257 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 494.99 MXN | +91% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 372.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -23% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 136.00 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -26% |
| TLKM TLKM | 2,590 IDR | 3,898 IDR | +50% |
| PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET | 9,900 IDR | 1,503 IDR | -85% |
| SK Telecom Co 017670 | 91,100 KRW | 41,693 KRW | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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