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Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co (301057) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

ZH Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co 301057 · SHE
Price¥21.24
Fair Value¥5.10
Upside-76.0%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.83 – ¥6.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥45.69 ¥7.94 Fair Value ¥5.10 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥7.94 – ¥45.69 · fair‑value band ¥3.83 – ¥6.38 · the ¥21.24 price screens above the ¥5.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co (301057) currently trades at ¥21.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.10, implying the stock looks roughly 76.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co generated revenue of 988M CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at 464M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.83 (bear case) to ¥6.38 (bull case); at ¥21.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -76%, 301057 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.88 ¥4.86 ¥4.45 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0400 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.05 ¥5.79 ¥7.53 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.04 ¥9.36 ¥12.85 54
Lynch FV ¥2.46 ¥3.51 ¥4.57 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.46 ¥3.51 ¥4.57 46
EPV ¥0.0400 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.95 ¥6.60 ¥8.26 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.83 ¥5.10 ¥6.38 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.83 ¥5.10 ¥6.38 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.33 ¥2.72 ¥4.10 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.37 ¥5.44 ¥7.50 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.18 ¥2.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.27 ¥4.39 ¥6.55 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.88 ¥4.86 ¥4.45 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.05 ¥5.79 ¥7.53 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.79) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 988M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.1%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow −384M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 84.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3300
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.3%
Net debt 464M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of solution-dyed fibers in China and internationally. The company offers colored polyester filament yarns, such as draw texturing yarns, fully drawn yarns, and partially oriented yarns.

Full company description

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of solution-dyed fibers in China and internationally. The company offers colored polyester filament yarns, such as draw texturing yarns, fully drawn yarns, and partially oriented yarns. It also provides outdoor camping, traffic interio, sports clothing, and home spinning solutions. Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Huzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co reported revenue of ¥951M in FY2025 versus ¥613M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥35.1M in FY2025, compounding −16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
951M CNY
Latest YoY
+13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+6.4%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 ¥613M
FY22 ¥615M
FY23 ¥804M
FY24 ¥838M
FY25 ¥951M
Net income −16.5%/yr
FY21 ¥72.1M
FY22 ¥40.6M
FY23 ¥51.3M
FY24 ¥30.9M
FY25 ¥35.1M

301057 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301057

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 84.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 43.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 96 · sector 0
PAST 20 · sector 14
HEALTH 67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co (301057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.10 versus a price of ¥21.24, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301057?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co is ¥5.10 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.24.
What is the quality score of 301057?
Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co (301057)?
Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 988M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301057?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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