Qingmu Tec Co (301110) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥24.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (¥12.17 to ¥24.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥11.22 – ¥70.06 · fair‑value band ¥12.17 – ¥24.61 · the ¥37.62 price screens above the ¥19.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Qingmu Tec Co (301110) currently trades at ¥37.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.95, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qingmu Tec Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 25.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.17 (bear case) to ¥24.61 (bull case); at ¥37.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -47%, 301110 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.68) versus Asset-Based (¥7.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. provides brand retail solutions. It offers online store operation, digital marketing, omni-value-chain consumer operation, brand incubator, and warehousing and logistics solutions. The company also provides technology solutions comprising official brand website, omni-channel system, and DTMiller consumer operation platform.
Full company description
Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. provides brand retail solutions. It offers online store operation, digital marketing, omni-value-chain consumer operation, brand incubator, and warehousing and logistics solutions. The company also provides technology solutions comprising official brand website, omni-channel system, and DTMiller consumer operation platform. It serves fashion and FMCG sectors. The company was formerly known as Qingmu Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. in July 2024. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingmu Tec Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥880M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥123M in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
301110 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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