Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. ¥19.90, price ¥36.50, upside -45.5%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range ¥11.22 – ¥70.06 · fair‑value band ¥11.42 – ¥24.61 · the ¥36.50 price screens above the ¥19.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. provides brand retail solutions. It offers online store operation, digital marketing, omni-value-chain consumer operation, brand incubator, and warehousing and logistics solutions. The company also provides technology solutions comprising official brand website, omni-channel system, and DTMiller consumer operation platform.
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Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. provides brand retail solutions. It offers online store operation, digital marketing, omni-value-chain consumer operation, brand incubator, and warehousing and logistics solutions. The company also provides technology solutions comprising official brand website, omni-channel system, and DTMiller consumer operation platform. It serves fashion and FMCG sectors. The company was formerly known as Qingmu Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Qingmu Tec Co., Ltd. in July 2024. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110) currently trades at ¥36.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.90, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥25.68 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥36.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.77, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥11.42 (bear) to ¥24.61 (bull), the price of ¥36.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 880M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was 123M CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.2B CNY · P/E ratio 30.7 · P/S ratio 2.67 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.19 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −45%, 301110 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.42Fair Value ¥19.90Bull ¥24.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4545 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 9%
2025 sits 164% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +44.4% a year for the price.
Compare Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−48% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)30.7× · Pricier than median
P/B3.45× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.50× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF29.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA29.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 27
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)31· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301110
Frequently asked questions
Is Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.90 versus a price of ¥36.50, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301110?
Our model-based fair value for Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is ¥19.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥36.50.
What is the quality score of 301110?
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥19.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.42, optimistic scenario ¥24.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥19.90, about −45% upside versus a price of ¥36.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.42, optimistic scenario ¥24.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +46.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301110 use?
Our models discount Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. that is +46.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. grew +16.9 % a year. The price currently implies +46.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (+46.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.78 %: that much free cash flow Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. it is ¥19.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥36.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301110 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥36.50, fair value ¥19.90, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301110?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥36.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥19.90). For Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. the two are ¥16.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. at about 5.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥36.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥19.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301110?
Our models span a range for Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.42, base ¥19.90, optimistic ¥24.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥36.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301110?
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥19.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 29.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301110 from its 52-week high?
Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. trades at ¥36.50, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥70.06 and 16% above the low of ¥31.59 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥19.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥36.50, calculated fair value ¥19.90 (−45%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301110 calculated?
We run Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥19.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥36.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥19.90, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥24.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (¥11.42 to ¥24.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The market capitalisation of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 5.2B CNY. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 2.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Earnings per share at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. are ¥1.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The dividend yield of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 1.6% (payout 48.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The net margin of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
The operating margin of Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Revenue at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. is growing +25.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. (301110)?
Earnings per share at Qingmu Digital Technology Co.Ltd. are growing +311% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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