Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd ¥2.37, price ¥14.25, upside -83.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥6.59 – ¥29.73 · fair‑value band ¥1.83 – ¥2.45 · the ¥14.25 price screens above the ¥2.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Newonder Special Electric Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of frequency converter transformers, reactors, power transformers, and other transformers in China and internationally.
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Newonder Special Electric Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of frequency converter transformers, reactors, power transformers, and other transformers in China and internationally. The company offers dry-type and oil-immersed transformers, including variable frequency speed control, marine power, energy storage, distribution, and other transformers, as well as transformers for shore power supply, and photovoltaic and wind power; and oil and gas drilling use. It also provides reactors, including synchronous switching, incoming line, outgoing line, smoothing, filter, series, SVG, and other reactors. The company was formerly known as Beijing Xinhuadu Special Transformer Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Newonder Special Electric Co.,Ltd. in May 2010. Newonder Special Electric Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) currently trades at ¥14.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.37, 83.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥2.97 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the ¥14.25 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.9200, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.83 (bear) to ¥2.45 (bull), the price of ¥14.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd reported revenue of 421M CNY in FY2025 versus 408M CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 43.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.7B CNY (≈ $993M) · P/E ratio 158.3 · P/S ratio 16.2 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 10.2% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −83%, 301120 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.83Fair Value ¥2.37Bull ¥2.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0272 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−16.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.3% vs 0.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → −2%
Compare Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 633 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−83.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Return on assets−0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−3.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)158.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)14.49× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 62
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301120
Frequently asked questions
Is Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.37 versus a price of ¥14.25, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301120?
Our model-based fair value for Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is ¥2.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.25.
What is the quality score of 301120?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.83, optimistic scenario ¥2.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.37, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥14.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.83, optimistic scenario ¥2.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 459M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd it is ¥2.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥14.25. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301120 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.25, fair value ¥2.37, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301120?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.37). For Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd the two are ¥11.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd at about 6.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.25; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301120?
Our models span a range for Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.83, base ¥2.37, optimistic ¥2.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥14.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301120?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 158.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.37 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 118.8 (reported for FY2025: 21.9). Other multiples: P/B 4.3, P/S 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Balance-sheet figures for Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301120 from its 52-week high?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd trades at ¥14.25, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥29.73 and 11% above the low of ¥12.85 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥14.25, calculated fair value ¥2.37 (−83%), Quality Score 53/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301120 calculated?
We run Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥14.25. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.37, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) come from?
Earnings per share at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd grew +1.4 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.1 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The market capitalisation of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 6.7B CNY (≈ $993M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 16.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Earnings per share at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd are ¥0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 158.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The dividend yield of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 0.4% (payout 60.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The net margin of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 10.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
The operating margin of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Revenue at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is growing +43.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120)?
Earnings per share at Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd are growing +14.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) generate?
The free cash flow of Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd is −18.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd (301120) hold?
Newonder Special Electric Co.Ltd holds more cash than debt, 331M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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