ZRP Printing Group (301223) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥15.39 to ¥13.50 (−12.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥10.13 (bear) to ¥16.88 (bull), base ¥13.50. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range ¥12.12 – ¥22.77 · fair‑value band ¥10.13 – ¥16.88 · the ¥16.32 price screens above the ¥13.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
ZRP Printing Group (301223) currently trades at ¥16.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.50, implying the stock looks roughly 17.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ZRP Printing Group generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 6.9M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.13 (bear case) to ¥16.88 (bull case); at ¥16.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -17%, 301223 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥21.89) versus Earnings-Based (¥6.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ZRP Printing Group Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of paper printing and packaging products in China.
Full company description
ZRP Printing Group Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of paper printing and packaging products in China. The company offers packaging products, such as folding cartons, rigid boxes, corrugated boxes, molded pulps, paper containers, fiber-based flexible packaging, folding color boxes, gift boxes, e-commerce packaging boxes, and paper bags, as well as promotional display tools and label solutions. It also provides industrial packaging solutions for personal care, food and beverage, consumer electronics, healthcare, tobacco, and wine and spirits industries. In addition, the company offers research and development, creative design, intelligent manufacturing, supply chain management, and marketing services for point of sales. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ZRP Printing Group reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥153M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
301223 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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