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Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc (301479) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 8.0B CNY

GH Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc 301479 · SHE
Price¥48.69
Fair Value¥36.84
Upside-24.3%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥27.63 – ¥46.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −18.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥46.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (17 months)

¥94.51 ¥43.32 Fair Value ¥36.84 Mar 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range ¥43.32 – ¥94.51 · fair‑value band ¥27.63 – ¥46.05 · the ¥48.69 price screens above the ¥36.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc (301479) currently trades at ¥48.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥36.84, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 43.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥27.63 (bear case) to ¥46.05 (bull case); at ¥48.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -24%, 301479 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.14 ¥13.22 ¥36.17 76
ROIC Compounder ¥22.03 ¥33.11 ¥39.72 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥54.76 ¥78.23 ¥101.70 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.53 ¥73.41 ¥103.02 54
Lynch FV ¥37.93 ¥54.18 ¥70.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥37.93 ¥54.18 ¥70.43 46
EPV ¥17.24 ¥19.36 ¥21.19 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥32.51 ¥43.34 ¥54.18 63
P/S Multiple ¥19.74 ¥26.32 ¥32.89 58
P/B Multiple ¥19.74 ¥26.32 ¥32.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥37.47 ¥48.70 ¥59.92 53
EV/EBITDA ¥35.34 ¥45.86 ¥56.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥20.83 ¥28.12 ¥35.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.15 ¥6.90 ¥10.29 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.14 ¥13.22 ¥36.17 76
ROIC Compounder ¥22.03 ¥33.11 ¥39.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥54.76 ¥78.23 ¥101.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥78.23) versus Asset-Based (¥6.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow −102M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 43.7
More key figures
Operating margin 9.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.48
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -40.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 6
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc. focuses on the research, design, development, production, and sale of optical lenses and camera module products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc. focuses on the research, design, development, production, and sale of optical lenses and camera module products in China and internationally. It offers automotive lens and modules, including automotive reversing rear view, panoramic round-viewing, front view, electronic rear view, and internal view lens and modules; consumer lens and modules comprising VR/AR full view camera, smart home, wearable camera, unmanned aerial vehicle, scanning, and TOF lens and modules; and optical image schemes. The company serves smart car and emerging consumer industries. Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥252M in FY2021, a compound +61.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥193M in FY2025, compounding +88.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+55.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+55.9%
Revenue +61.0%/yr
FY21 ¥252M
FY22 ¥446M
FY23 ¥773M
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income +88.5%/yr
FY21 ¥15.3M
FY22 ¥56.5M
FY23 ¥116M
FY24 ¥165M
FY25 ¥193M

301479 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301479

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 0
FUTURE 62 · sector 57
PAST 58 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc (301479) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥36.84 versus a price of ¥48.69, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301479?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc is ¥36.84 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥48.69.
What is the quality score of 301479?
Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc (301479)?
Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301479?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc pay a dividend?
Guangdong Hongjing Optoelectronic Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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