Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co (301507) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +2.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range ¥10.54 – ¥31.88 · fair‑value band ¥4.25 – ¥6.85 · the ¥12.47 price screens above the ¥5.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co (301507) currently trades at ¥12.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.48, implying the stock looks roughly 56.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co generated revenue of 828M CNY at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 37.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.25 (bear case) to ¥6.85 (bull case); at ¥12.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -56%, 301507 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.44) versus Economic Profit (¥2.96). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of vitamins and mineral supplements, OTC drugs, and health foods in China.
Full company description
Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of vitamins and mineral supplements, OTC drugs, and health foods in China. The company offers healthy products, such as fish and algae oil gel candy, collagen peptide vitamin D calcium chewable tablets, blueberry lutein ester candy tablets, and probiotic solid beverage. It also provides multivitamin, vitamin, and zinc selenium with mineral tablets; and glucosamine chondroitin colostrum protein chewable, vitamin soft capsules and chewable, iron folic acid, melatonin, coenzyme soft capsules, and calcium magnesium vitamin D tablets. The company offers its product under the 21 SUPER-VITA brand name. Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co., Ltd. was founded in 1926 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Minsheng Healthcare Co reported revenue of ¥782M in FY2025 versus ¥490M in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥119M in FY2025, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2021.
301507 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,182 | $396.77 | -66% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $257.59 | $169.04 | -34% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $254.49 | $67.72 | -73% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €392.80 | €226.68 | -42% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €108.08 | €121.54 | +12% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,742 MXN | 2,379 MXN | -13% |
| AstraZeneca PLC AZN | $171.61 | $129.54 | -25% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 329.90 | kr 409.46 | +24% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $363.39 | $252.02 | -31% |
| Sanofi SNYN | 770.00 MXN | 1,251 MXN | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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