Ugreen Group (301606) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 26.5B CNY

Analysis

Ugreen Group (301606) currently trades at ¥62.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥47.55 — implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Ugreen Group Limited engages in the design, research, production, and sale of consumer electronics products in China and internationally. It offers network-attached storage private cloud, digital charging, acoustic creativity, storage, office peripherals, audio-visual peripherals, and network industrial controls under the UGREEN brand. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.