Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock ¥16.76, price ¥181, upside -90.7%, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range ¥147.31 – ¥439.00 · fair‑value band ¥12.79 – ¥17.12 · the ¥181.00 price screens above the ¥16.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of semiconductor special equipment in China and internationally. The company's products include wafer probe station, die probe station, AOI testing equipment, exposure machine, and sorter.
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Its products are used in integrated circuits, optoelectronic chips, discrete devices, third-generation semiconductors, and other applications. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) currently trades at ¥181.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.76, 90.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥29.92 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥181.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.15, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥12.79 (bear) to ¥17.12 (bull), the price of ¥181.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 419M CNY in FY2025 versus 399M CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 52.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 226.3 · P/S ratio 28.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8000 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −91%, 301629 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥7.15 to ¥171.16). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥12.79Fair Value ¥16.76Bull¥17.12
Price ¥181.00 · Upside -90.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4533 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥19.99¥19.72¥20.1476
Owner Earnings¥10.73¥12.26¥14.1675
EPV¥15.15¥16.21¥17.0970
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings¥10.73¥12.26¥14.1675
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥8.61¥24.51¥32.3065
Lynch FV¥5.01¥7.15¥9.3061
PEG = 1.0¥5.01¥7.15¥9.3057
EPV¥15.15¥16.21¥17.0970
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥6.96¥11.96¥15.8468
DDM Multi-Stage¥6.96¥10.21¥12.8467
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥26.59¥35.45¥44.3163
P/S Multiple¥16.14¥21.52¥26.9058
P/B Multiple¥128.37¥171.16¥213.9455
EV/EBIT¥27.03¥34.60¥42.1663
EV/EBITDA¥23.52¥29.92¥36.3164
EV/Revenue¥15.81¥20.73¥25.6452
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥15.05¥22.80¥28.5052
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥19.99¥19.72¥20.1476
ROIC Compounder¥15.15¥16.21¥17.0970
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥20.83¥29.76¥38.6967
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
’19
’20
’21
’22
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 13%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 231 stocks
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Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.76 versus a price of ¥181.00, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301629?
Our model-based fair value for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is ¥16.76 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥181.00.
What is the quality score of 301629?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.76 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.79, optimistic scenario ¥17.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.76, about −91% upside versus a price of ¥181.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.79, optimistic scenario ¥17.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 364M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. it is ¥16.76 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of ¥181.00. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 301629 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥181.00, fair value ¥16.76, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301629?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥181.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.76). For Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. the two are ¥164.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. at about 7.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is ¥181.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301629?
Our models span a range for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥12.79, base ¥16.76, optimistic ¥17.12 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price ¥181.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301629?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 226.3 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.3, P/S 20.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 2.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301629 from its 52-week high?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. trades at ¥181.00, about 59% below its 52-week high of ¥439.00 and at the low of ¥181.00 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price ¥181.00, calculated fair value ¥16.76 (−91%), Quality Score 29/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301629 calculated?
We run Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was ¥181.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.76, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The market capitalisation of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 28.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Earnings per share at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. are ¥0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 226.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The dividend yield of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 0.1% (payout 31.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The net margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The operating margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Revenue at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is growing +6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Earnings per share at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. are growing −56.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) generate?
The free cash flow of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is −8.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) hold?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 181M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 29, 2026