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Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100006VD2

SS Some data Sep 13, 2026

Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.

301629 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥153.42 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 32/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +17.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.6% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
·0.10% dividend yield
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥439.00 ¥147.31 Fair Value ¥153.42 Mar 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range ¥147.31 – ¥439.00 · the ¥265.57 price screens above the ¥153.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of semiconductor special equipment in China and internationally. The company's products include wafer probe station, die probe station, AOI testing equipment, exposure machine, and sorter.

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Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of semiconductor special equipment in China and internationally. The company's products include wafer probe station, die probe station, AOI testing equipment, exposure machine, and sorter. Its products are used in integrated circuits, optoelectronic chips, discrete devices, third-generation semiconductors, and other applications. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) currently trades at ¥265.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥153.42, implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥29.76 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥265.57 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥19.16, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 419M CNY in FY2025 versus 399M CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 52.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 16.0B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 358.9 · P/S ratio 45.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7400 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −42%, 301629 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥153.42 Fair Value ¥153.42 Bull ¥153.42
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3422 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥21.57 ¥21.55 ¥19.92 76
Owner Earnings ¥19.85 ¥26.66 ¥36.81 74
EPV ¥17.49 ¥19.29 ¥20.87 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥19.85 ¥26.66 ¥36.81 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.61 ¥24.51 ¥32.30 65
Lynch FV ¥5.01 ¥7.15 ¥9.30 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.01 ¥7.15 ¥9.30 57
EPV ¥17.49 ¥19.29 ¥20.87 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥26.59 ¥35.45 ¥44.31 63
P/S Multiple ¥16.14 ¥21.52 ¥26.90 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.14 ¥21.52 ¥26.90 55
EV/EBIT ¥29.38 ¥36.95 ¥44.51 63
EV/EBITDA ¥25.87 ¥32.26 ¥38.66 64
EV/Revenue ¥18.16 ¥23.08 ¥27.99 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥14.30 ¥19.16 ¥28.59 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥21.57 ¥21.55 ¥19.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥17.49 ¥19.29 ¥20.87 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥20.83 ¥29.76 ¥38.69 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Revenue growth 6 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 13%

301629 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 219 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −54% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −66% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 358.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 13.41× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 44.69× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 70
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,478 €1,350 −9%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $456.49 $366.20 −20%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $298.22 $199.98 −33%
KLA Corporation KLAC $180.64 $149.08 −17%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥634.00 ¥76.13 −88%
Teradyne, Inc TER $379.72 $65.80 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥333.59 ¥126.74 −62%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥620.88 ¥322.24 −48%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥131.66 ¥13.84 −89%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,310 TWD 5,071 TWD −20%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301629

Frequently asked questions

Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥153.42 versus a price of ¥265.57, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301629?
Our model-based fair value for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is ¥153.42 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥265.57.
What is the quality score of 301629?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥153.42 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥153.42, about −42% upside versus a price of ¥265.57 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 358M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. it is ¥153.42 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥265.57. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 301629 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥265.57, fair value ¥153.42, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301629?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥265.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥153.42). For Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. the two are ¥112.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. at about 16.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥265.57; our models calculate a fair value of ¥153.42 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 301629?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 358.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥153.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 13.4, P/S 44.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301629 from its 52-week high?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. trades at ¥265.57, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥437.69 and 85% above the low of ¥143.60 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥153.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥265.57, calculated fair value ¥153.42 (−42%), Quality Score 32/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301629 calculated?
We run Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥153.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥153.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The market capitalisation of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 16.0B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 45.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Earnings per share at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. are ¥0.7400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 358.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The dividend yield of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 0.1% (payout 34.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The net margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
The operating margin of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is −53.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Revenue at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is growing −66.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629)?
Earnings per share at Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. are growing −64.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) generate?
The free cash flow of Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is −8.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (301629) hold?
Sidea Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 181M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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